Simple ‘Might’s, Indicative Possibilities and the Open Future



This paper concerns sentences of the form ‘It is possible that p’, where the embedded p is in the indicative mood, like ‘It is possible that Michael leads the league in scoring’, and simple ‘might’ sentences like ‘Michael might lead the league in scoring’, but not ‘might have’ sentences like ‘Michael might have led the league in scoring’. The thesis that the target sentences invariably express epistemic possibility is developed, argued for and defended from objections. The position defended is then compared with Robert Stalnaker's different account of ‘might’s, and finally is applied to some arguments concerning the open future.