A Proposal for a Goodness-of-Fit Test to the Arnason-Schwarz Multisite Capture-Recapture Model
Article first published online: 24 MAR 2003
Volume 59, Issue 1, pages 43–53, March 2003
How to Cite
Pradel, R., Wintrebert, C. M. A. and Gimenez, O. (2003), A Proposal for a Goodness-of-Fit Test to the Arnason-Schwarz Multisite Capture-Recapture Model. Biometrics, 59: 43–53. doi: 10.1111/1541-0420.00006
- Issue published online: 24 MAR 2003
- Article first published online: 24 MAR 2003
- Received December 2001. Revised August 2002. Accepted August 2002.
- Canada goose;
- Memory model;
- Mixture of multinomials;
- Multistate models;
- Unisite models
Summary. In an analysis of capture-recapture data, the identification of a model that fits is a critical step. For the multisite (also called multistate) models used to analyze data gathered at several sites, no reliable test for assessing fit is currently available. We propose a test for the JMV model, a simple generalization of the Arnason-Schwarz (AS) model, in the form of interpretable contingency tables. For the AS model, we suggest complementing the test for the JMV model with a likelihood ratio test of AS vs. JMV. The examination of an example leads us to propose further a partitioning that emphasizes the role of the memory model of Brownie et al. (1993 Biometrics49, 1173–1187) as a biologically more plausible alternative to the AS model.