How does state marijuana policy affect US youth? Medical marijuana laws, marijuana use and perceived harmfulness: 1991–2014

Authors

  • Katherine M. Keyes,

    Corresponding author
    1. Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
    2. Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
    • Correspondence to: Katherine M. Keyes, Columbia University Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, 722 West 168th Street, Suite 503, New York, NY 10032, USA. E-mail: kmk2104@columbia.edu

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  • Melanie Wall,

    1. Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
    2. New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, USA
    3. Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
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  • Magdalena Cerdá,

    1. Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, CA, USA
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  • John Schulenberg,

    1. Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
    2. Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
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  • Patrick M. O'Malley,

    1. Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
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  • Sandro Galea,

    1. School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
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  • Tianshu Feng,

    1. Research Foundation of Mental Hygiene, New York, NY, USA
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  • Deborah S. Hasin

    1. Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
    2. Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
    3. New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, NY, USA
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Abstract

Aims

To test, among US students: (1) whether perceived harmfulness of marijuana has changed over time, (2) whether perceived harmfulness of marijuana changed post-passage of state medical marijuana laws (MML) compared with pre-passage; and (3) whether perceived harmfulness of marijuana statistically mediates and/or modifies the relation between MML and marijuana use as a function of grade level.

Design

Cross-sectional nationally representative surveys of US students, conducted annually, 1991–2014, in the Monitoring the Future study.

Setting

Surveys conducted in schools in all coterminous states; 21 states passed MML between 1996 and 2014.

Participants

The sample included 1 134 734 adolescents in 8th, 10th and 12th grades.

Measurements

State passage of MML; perceived harmfulness of marijuana use (perceiving great or moderate risk to health from smoking marijuana occasionally versus slight or no risk); and marijuana use (prior 30 days). Data were analyzed using time-varying multi-level regression modeling.

Findings

The perceived harmfulness of marijuana has decreased significantly since 1991 (from an estimated 84.0% in 1991 to 53.8% in 2014, P < 0.01) and, across time, perceived harmfulness was lower in states that passed MML [odds ratio (OR) = 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.75–0.97]. In states with MML, perceived harmfulness of marijuana increased among 8th graders after MML passage (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.08–1.36), while marijuana use decreased (OR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.72–0.92). Results were null for other grades, and for all grades combined. Increases in perceived harmfulness among 8th graders after MML passage was associated with ~33% of the decrease in use. When adolescents were stratified by perceived harmfulness, use in 8th graders decreased to a greater extent among those who perceived marijuana as harmful.

Conclusions

While perceived harmfulness of marijuana use appears to be decreasing nationally among adolescents in the United States, the passage of medical marijuana laws (MML) is associated with increases in perceived harmfulness among young adolescents and marijuana use has decreased among those who perceive marijuana to be harmful after passage of MML.

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