Selected article prepared for presentation at the International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE) Triennial Conference, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 18–24 August, 2012.
Climate change, weather shocks, and violent conflict: a critical look at the evidence†
Article first published online: 1 JUL 2013
© 2013 International Association of Agricultural Economists
Volume 44, Issue s1, pages 63–78, November 2013
How to Cite
Klomp, J. and Bulte, E. (2013), Climate change, weather shocks, and violent conflict: a critical look at the evidence. Agricultural Economics, 44: 63–78. doi: 10.1111/agec.12051
- Issue published online: 25 NOV 2013
- Article first published online: 1 JUL 2013
- Manuscript Accepted: 26 FEB 2013
- Manuscript Revised: 16 NOV 2012
- Manuscript Received: 22 APR 2012
- Climate change;
- Resource scarcity;
We use cross-country data to explore whether temperature and rainfall shocks trigger violent conflict, or not. We include a wide range of country and time samples, and explore whether the impact of weather shocks is conditional on income or political regimes. Our overall conclusion is sobering. Notwithstanding the attention this topic has attracted from the media and policy makers, we find little robust evidence linking weather shocks to the onset of conflict.