The information, practices and views in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the Royal Geographical Society (with IBG).
The scientific and political legacy of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09): an undergraduate perspective
Version of Record online: 20 DEC 2013
© 2013 Royal Geographical Society (with the Institute of British Geographers)
Volume 46, Issue 1, pages 111–113, March 2014
How to Cite
Kelly, N. M. S. (2014), The scientific and political legacy of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09): an undergraduate perspective. Area, 46: 111–113. doi: 10.1111/area.12067
- Issue online: 12 FEB 2014
- Version of Record online: 20 DEC 2013
- Manuscript Received: 9 OCT 2013
- climate change;
- risk assessment;
The 2008 Climate Change Act and ‘adaptation reporting power’ afforded to the UK Government have generated demand for information on future climate risks. The UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) are the latest generation of national climate change scenarios. This Commentary reflects on the enduring scientific and political contribution of UKCP09 as evidenced by academic literature, adaptation reports and media perspectives. It is contested that the more explicit treatment of uncertainty by the UKCP09 projections compared with the predecessor (UKCIP02) was a significant step forward. User unfamiliarity with the probabilistic format can be managed through support and guidance, so the complexity of UKCP09 need not be limiting. Some may question the value added by climate modelling (and downscaling) to adaptation planning given present fiscal retrenchment. However, the benefit of UKCP09 could be greater than expected, especially if new ways of responding to climate uncertainty emerge.