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Keywords:

  • ecological niche model ;
  • Mexico ;
  • Quaternary ;
  • Scorpiones ;
  • species distribution model

The biota of the Baja California peninsula (BCP) assembled in response to a complex history of Neogene tectonics and Quaternary climates. We constructed species distribution models (SDMs) for 13 scorpion species from the BCP to compare current suitable habitat with that at the latest glacial maximum about 21 000 years ago. Using these SDMs, we modelled climatic suitability in relation to latitude along the BCP. Our SDMs suggested that most BCP scorpion distributions have remained remarkably conserved across the latest glacial to interglacial climatic transformation. Three areas of climatic suitability coincide remarkably well with genetic discontinuities in other co-distributed taxa along the BCP, indicating that long-term persistence of zones of abrupt climatic transition offer a viable alternative, or synergistic enhancement, to hypotheses of trans-peninsular seaways as drivers of peninsular divergences. © 2014 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2014, 111, 450–461.