SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

References

  • Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Nogues-Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. (2011) Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Ecology Letters, 14, 484492.
  • Austin, M.P. & Van Niel, K.P. (2011) Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: variable selection and scale. Journal of Biogeography, 38, 18.
  • Beaumont, L.J., Pitman, A., Perkins, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Yoccoz, N.G. & Thuiller, W. (2011) Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 108, 23062311.
  • Bolliger, J., Kienast, F., Soliva, R. & Rutherford, G. (2007) Spatial sensitivity of species habitat patterns to scenarios of land use change (Switzerland). Landscape Ecology, 22, 773789.
  • Brommer, J.E., Lehikoinen, A. & Valkama, J. (2012) The breeding ranges of Central European and Arctic bird species move Poleward. PLoS ONE, 7, e43648.
  • Carvalho, S.B., Brito, J.C., Crespo, E.J. & Possingham, H.P. (2010) From climate change predictions to actions - conserving vulnerable animal groups in hotspots at a regional scale. Global Change Biology, 16, 32573270.
  • Dawson, T.P., Jackson, S.T., House, J.I., Prentice, I.C. & Mace, G.M. (2011) Beyond predictions: Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate. Science, 332, 5358.
  • Dormann, C.F., Purschke, O., García, J., Lautenbach, S. & Schröder, B. (2008) Components of uncertainty in species distribution analysis: a case study of the Great Grey Shrike Lanius excubitor L. Ecology, 89, 33713386.
  • Elith, J. & Leathwick, J.R. (2009) Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics, 40, 677697.
  • Engler, R., Randin, C., Thuiller, W. et al. (2011) Climate change impacts on European mountain plant diversity. Global Change Biology, 17, 23302341.
  • Foden, W., Mace, G., Vié, J.-C., Angulo, A., Butchard, S., DeVantier, L., Dublin, H., Gutsche, A., Stuart, S. & Turak, E. (2008) Species susceptibility to climate change impacts. The 2008 review of the IUCN red list of threatened species (ed. by J.-C. Vié, C. Hilton-Taylor and S.N. Stuart), pp. 7787. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland.
  • Folke, C. (2006) Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 16, 253267.
  • Fuentes, M. & Cinner, J.E. (2010) Using expert opinion to prioritize impacts of climate change on sea turtles' nesting grounds. Journal of Environmental Management, 91, 25112518.
  • Füssel, H.-M. (2007) Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research. Global Environmental Change, 17, 155167.
  • Hagemeijer, E.J.M. & Blair, M.J. (1997) The EBCC atlas of European breeding birds: their distribution and abundance. T & A.D. Poyser, London.
  • Huntley, B., Green, R.E., Collingham, Y.C. & Willis, S.G. (2007) A climatic atlas of European breeding birds. Lynx Edicions, Barcelona, Spain.
  • IPCC SRES (2000) Special report on emissions scenarios: a special report of working group III of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (ed. by N. Nakićenović and R. Swart). UK, Cambridge University Press.
  • Isaac, J.L., Vanderwal, J., Johnson, C.N. & Williams, S.E. (2009) Resistance and resilience: quantifying relative extinction risk in a diverse assemblage of Australian tropical rainforest vertebrates. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 280288.
  • IUCN (2010) Guidelines for using the IUCN red list categories and criteria. Version 8.1. Prepared by the standards and petitions subcommittee of the IUCN species survival commission. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK.
  • Jetz, W., Wilcove, D.S. & Dobson, A.P. (2007) Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. Plos Biology, 5, 12111219.
  • Jetz, W., Sekercioglu, C.H. & Watson, J.E.M. (2008) Ecological correlates and conservation implications of overestimating species geographic ranges. Conservation Biology, 22, 110119.
  • Jiguet, F., Gadot, A.S., Julliard, R., Newson, S.E. & Couvet, D. (2007) Climate envelope, life history traits and the resilience of birds facing global change. Global Change Biology, 13, 16721684.
  • Keller, V. & Bollmann, K. (2004) From red lists to species of conservation concern. Conservation Biology, 18, 16361644.
  • Keller, V., Gerber, A., Schmid, H., Volet, B. & Zbinden, N. (2010) Liste rouge oiseaux nicheurs. Espèces menacées en Suisse, état 2010. Office fédéral de l'environnement, Berne, et Station ornithologique suisse, Sempach.
  • Keppel, G., Van Niel, K.P., Wardell-Johnson, G.W., Yates, C.J., Byrne, M., Mucina, L., Schut, A.G.T., Hopper, S.D. & Franklin, S.E. (2011) Refugia: identifying and understanding safe havens for biodiversity under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 393404.
  • Kéry, M., Royle, J.A., Schmid, H., Schaub, M., Volet, B., Häfliger, G. & Zbinden, N. (2010) Site-occupancy distribution modeling to correct population-trend estimates derived from opportunistic observations. Conservation Biology, 24, 13881397.
  • Maggini, R., Lehmann, A., Kéry, M., Schmid, H., Beniston, M., Jenni, L. & Zbinden, N. (2011) Are Swiss birds tracking climate change? Detecting elevational shifts using response curve shapes. Ecological Modelling, 222, 2132.
  • Margules, C.R. & Pressey, R.L. (2000) Systematic conservation planning. Nature, 405, 243253.
  • McCarthy, J., Canziani, O., Leary, N., Dokken, D. & White, K. (2001) Climate Change 2001: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
  • Midgley, G.F., Hannah, L., Millar, D., Rutherford, M.C. & Powrie, L.W. (2002) Assessing the vulnerability of species richness to anthropogenic climate change in a biodiversity hotspot. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 11, 445451.
  • Miller, R.M., Rodriguez, J.P., Aniskowicz-Fowler, T., Bambaradeniya, C., Boles, R., Eaton, M.A., Gardenfors, U., Keller, V., Molur, S., Walker, S. & Pollock, C. (2006) Extinction risk and conservation priorities. Science, 313, 441.
  • O'Grady, J.J., Reed, D.H., Brook, B.W. & Frankham, R. (2004) What are the best correlates of predicted extinction risk? Biological Conservation, 118, 513520.
  • Ohlemüller, R., Anderson, B.J., Araújo, M.B., Butchart, S.H.M., Kudrna, O., Ridgely, R.S. & Thomas, C.D. (2008) The coincidence of climatic and species rarity: high risk to small-range species from climate change. Biology Letters, 4, 568572.
  • Pannekoek, J. & van Strien, A. (1998) TRIM 2.0 for Windows (Trends & Indices for Monitoring data). Research paper no. 9807. Statistics Netherlands, Voorburg.
  • Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 3742.
  • Peterson, A.T. (2011) Ecological niche conservatism: a time-structured review of evidence. Journal of Biogeography, 38, 817827.
  • Schmeller, D.S., Gruber, B., Budrys, E., Framsted, E., Lengyel, S. & Henle, K. (2008) National responsibilities in European species conservation: A methodological review. Conservation Biology, 22, 593601.
  • Sekercioglu, Ç.H., Daily, G.C. & Ehrlich, P.R. (2004) Ecosystem consequences of bird declines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 101, 1804218047.
  • Sekercioglu, Ç.H., Schneider, S.H., Fay, J.P. & Loarie, S.R. (2008) Climate change, elevational range shifts, and bird extinctions. Conservation Biology, 22, 140150.
  • Van Turnhout, C.A.M., Foppen, R.P.B., Leuven, R.S.E.W., Van Strien, A. & Siepel, H. (2010) Life-history and ecological correlates of population change in Dutch breeding birds. Biological Conservation, 143, 173181.
  • Williams, S.E., Shoo, L.P., Isaac, J.L., Hoffmann, A.A. & Langham, G. (2008) Towards an integrated framework for assessing the vulnerability of species to climate change. Plos Biology, 6, 26212626.
  • Zbinden, N., Schmid, H., Kéry, M. & Keller, V. (2005) Swiss Bird Index SBI® – Kombinierte Indices für die Bestandsentwicklung von Artengruppen regelmässig brütender Vogelarten der Schweiz 1990–2004. Der Ornithologische Beobachter, 102, 283291.
  • Zurell, D., Jeltsch, F., Dormann, C.F. & Schröder, B. (2009) Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: How good can predictions really be? Ecography, 32, 733744.