Get access

No News in Business Cycles


  • Luca Gambetti gratefully acknowledges the financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through grant ECO2012-32392 and the Barcelona GSE Research Network.


A structural factor-augmented VAR model is used to evaluate the role of ‘news shocks’ in generating the business cycle. We find that existing small-scale VAR models are affected by ‘non-fundamentalness’ and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; news shocks have a smaller role in explaining the business cycle than previously found in the literature; their effects are essentially in line with what predicted by standard theories and a substantial fraction of business cycle fluctuations are explained by shocks unrelated to technology.