SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

FilenameFormatSizeDescription
gcb12069-sup-0001-TableS1-S3-FigureS1-S8.pdfapplication/PDF2417K

Table S1. Best-fit and uncertainty ranges of parameters [Eqn (1)] for the two different versions of the empirical model, with and without including precipitation.

Table S2. Validation statistics for maize yield [Eqn (1)] for the different versions of the empirical model, with and without including precipitation, and the full model with a linear g(t).

Table S3. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC, Akaike, 1974) values for different versions of the maize yield empirical model [Eqn (1)] with constant or time-varying parameters for β1 and β2.

Figure S1. The number of days in each summer exceeding 32 °C over France, from the E-OBS v5.0 dataset (Haylock et al., 2008).

Figure S2. The mean summer (JJA) precipitation over France, from the E-OBS v5.0 dataset (Haylock et al., 2008).

Figure S3. Testing the empirical model.

Figure S4. Quantile-quantile diagnostics for daily Tmax for JJA in 1991–2010, for the E-OBS dataset and each QUMP member as labelled, for a particular location (the black dots in Fig. 5).

Figure S5. As Fig. 5, but without correcting the daily temperature variability.

Figure S6. Histograms showing number of years across all QUMP members of annual calibrated projections in 20 year periods of the number of hot days for a particular grid point in south-west France (black dot in Fig. 5).

Figure S7. The relationship between temperature and precipitation and the effect on yield.

Figure S8. The empirical yield model fitted to two regions of France where a large fraction of the area is harvested for maize (Fig. 1).

Please note: Wiley Blackwell is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.