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geb12065-sup-0001-si.pdf88K

Appendix S1 Fire and climate data preparation

geb12065-sup-0002-si.pdf75K

Appendix S2 Ensemble of GCMs depicting the warmer-drier and warmer-wetter syndromes of climate change in each Mediterranean region.

geb12065-sup-0003-si.pdf509K

Appendix S3 Patterns of productivity and precipitation in the Mediterranean biome.

geb12065-sup-0004-si.pdf150K

Appendix S4 Comparison of baseline fire probability models based only on climate variables (i.e., the approach used in this study) and based on climate variables and net primary productivity as a metric of vegetation biomass.

geb12065-sup-0005-si.pdf355K

Appendix S5 Spatial distribution of agreement in the direction of change in predicted fire probability in the five MTEs over the 21st century under warmer-drier and warmer-wetter climate syndromes.

geb12065-sup-0006-si.pdf1725K

Appendix S6 Fire−climate relationships (i.e., response of predicted fire probability to each independent variable) in CA, CH, WC, and AU.

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