I thank Taavi Annus, Bernhard Grofman, Aníbal S. Pérez-Liñán, Juan Carlos Rodríguez-Raga, Rein Taagepera, and Jennifer N. Victor for reading and commenting on earlier drafts.
The Development of Stable Party Support: Electoral Dynamics in Post-Communist Europe
Article first published online: 1 MAR 2005
American Journal of Political Science
Volume 49, Issue 2, pages 283–298, April 2005
How to Cite
Tavits, M. (2005), The Development of Stable Party Support: Electoral Dynamics in Post-Communist Europe. American Journal of Political Science, 49: 283–298. doi: 10.1111/j.0092-5853.2005.00123.x
- Issue published online: 1 MAR 2005
- Article first published online: 1 MAR 2005
What conditions help stable patterns of party support to emerge? Using pooled time-series cross-section data on election results from 15 East European democracies, the empirical analysis finds that (1) right after a regime change electoral volatility increases while the trend is reversed after democracy has endured for about a decade; (2) ethnic cleavages have no effect on stability while social cleavages affect electoral stability only during economic downturns; (3) both institutions and economic performance influence the stability of party support; however, the effect of the latter diminishes over time when democracies mature.