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Appendix S1. Predicted distribution maps. (a) Probability of presence (POP) map for Orconectes peruncus in the St. Francis River drainage based on the natural-variable only classification tree model. The probability of O.  peruncus occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  peruncus was encountered. (b) Probability of presence (POP) map for O.  peruncus in the St. Francis River drainage based on the all-variable classification tree model. The probability of O.  peruncus occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  peruncus was encountered. (c) Probability of presence (POP) map for O.  quadruncus in the St. Francis River drainage based on the natural-variable only classification tree model. The probability of O.  quadruncus occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  quadruncus was encountered. (d) Probability of presence (POP) map for O.  quadruncus in the St. Francis River drainage based on the all-variable classification tree model. The probability of O.  quadruncus occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  quadruncus was encountered. (e) Probability of presence (POP) map for O.  hylas in the St. Francis River drainage based on the natural-variable only classification tree model. The probability of O.  hylas occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  hylas was encountered. (f) Probability of presence (POP) map for O.  hylas in the St. Francis River drainage based on the all-variable classification tree model. The probability of O.  hylas occupying a given stream segment (section of stream between tributary junctions) is noted by its color. Black dots represent locations where O.  hylas was encountered.

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