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Figure S1. The relationship between parturition date and offspring first-winter survival is non-linear. Raw data for survival and birth date are plotted along with the predicted relationship between the two variables (unbroken lines) and its standard errors (broken lines) from a generalized additive model of offspring survival fitted with binomial errors and including offspring sex and maternal status as factors and offspring birth weight as a linear covariate. The predicted curve is estimated for female calves of milk hinds with average birth weight.

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