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Appendix S1. Study area, field methods and capture data.

Appendix S2. Sea ice covariate details.

Appendix S3. Goodness-of-fit and model-selection details.

Appendix S4. Multistate modelling and parameter estimation details.

Appendix S5. Bootstrap confidence interval details.

Appendix S6. Model-selection results and parameter estimates for the overall best model set.

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Please note: Wiley Blackwell is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.