SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

References

  • Altwegg, R., Schaub, M. & Roulin, A. (2007) Age-specific fitness components and their temporal variation in the barn owl. The American Naturalist, 169, 4761.
  • Arnason, A.N. & Mills, K.H. (1981) Bias and loss of precision due to tag loss in Jolly–Seber estimates for mark–recapture experiments. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 38, 10771095.
  • Barbraud, C., Rivalan, P., Inchausti, P., Nevoux, M., Rolland, V. & Weimerskirch, H. (2011) Contrasted demographic responses facing future climate change in Southern Ocean seabirds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 80, 89100.
  • Beauplet, G., Barbraud, C., Chambellant, M. & Guinet, C. (2005) Interannual variation in the post-weaning and juvenile survival of subantarctic fur seals: influence of pup sex, growth rate and oceanographic conditions. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 11601172.
  • Beauplet, G., Barbraud, C., Dabin, W., Kussener, C. & Guinet, C. (2006) Age-specific survival and reproductive performances in fur seals: evidence of senescence and individual quality. Oikos, 112, 430441.
  • Benton, T.G. & Grant, A. (1996) How to keep fit in the real world: elasticity analyses and selection pressures on life histories in a variable environment. American Naturalist, 147, 115139.
  • Benton, T.G. & Grant, A. (1999) Elasticity analysis as an important tool in evolutionary and population ecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14, 467471.
  • Benton, T.G., Grant, A. & Clutton-Brock, T.H. (1995) Does environmental stochasticity matter? Analysis of red deer life-histories on Rum Evolutionary Ecology, 9, 559574.
  • Berteaux, D. & Stenseth, N.C. (2006) Measuring, understanding and projecting the effects of large-scale climatic variability on mammals. Climate Research, 32, 9597.
  • Boyce, M.S., Haridas, C.V., Lee, C.T. & the NCEAS Stochastic Demography Working Group (2006) Demography in an increasingly variable world. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 21, 141148.
  • Boyd, I.L. (2000) State-dependent fertility in pinnipeds: contrasting capital and income breeders. Functional Ecology, 14, 623630.
  • Boyd, I.L., Croxall, J.P., Lunn, N.J. & Reid, K. (1995) Population demography of Antarctic fur seals: the costs of reproduction and implications for life-histories. Journal of Animal Ecology, 64, 505518.
  • Bradshaw, C.J.A., Barker, R.J. & Davis, L.S. (2000) Modeling tag loss in New Zealand fur seal pups. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 5, 475485.
  • Bradshaw, C.J.A., McMahon, C.R., Hindell, M.A., Pistorius, P.A. & Bester, M.N. (2002) Do southern elephant seals show density dependence. Polar Biology, 25, 650655.
  • Brault, S. & Caswell, H. (1993) Pod-specific demography of killer whales (Orcinus orca). Ecology, 74, 14441454.
  • Brooks, S.P. & Gelman, A. (1998) General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 7, 434455.
  • Cam, E., Link, W.A., Cooch, E.G., Monnat, J.-Y. & Danchin, E. (2002) Individual covariation in life-history traits: seeing the trees despite the forest. American Naturalist, 159, 97105.
  • Cameron, M.F. & Siniff, D.B. (2004) Age-specific survival, abundance, and immigration rates of a Weddell seal (Leptonychotes weddellii) population in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica. Canadian Journal of Zoology, 82, 601615.
  • Cameron, M.F., Siniff, D.B., Proffitt, K.M. & Garrott, R.A. (2007) Site fidelity of Weddell seals: the effects of sex and age. Antarctic Science, 19, 149155.
  • Caswell, H. (1978) General formula for sensitivity of population-growth rate to changes in life-history parameters. Theoretical Population Biology, 14, 215230.
  • Caswell, H. (2001) Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis, and Interpretation, 2nd edn. Sinauer Associates Inc., Sunderland Associates, Sunderland, MA.
  • Caswell, H., Fujiwara, M. & Brault, S. (1999) Declining survival probability threatens the North Atlantic right whale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 96, 33083313.
  • Clutton-Brock, T.H. (1988) Reproductive success. Reproductive Success: Studies of Individual Variation in Contrasting Breeding Systems (ed. T.H. Clutton-Brock), pp. 472486. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL.
  • Coulson, T., Gaillard, J.-M. & Festa-Bianchet, M. (2005) Decomposing the variation in population growth into contributions from multiple demographic rates. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 789801.
  • Doak, D.F., Morris, W.F., Pfister, C., Kendall, B.E. & Bruna, E.M. (2005) Correctly estimating how environmental stochasticity influences fitness and population growth. The American Naturalist, 166, E14E21.
  • Doherty, P.F., Schreiber, E.A., Nichols, J.D., Hines, J.E., Link, W.A., Schenk, G.A. & Schreiber, R.W. (2004) Testing life history predictions in a long-lived seabird: a population matrix approach with improved parameter estimation. Oikos, 105, 606618.
  • Engen, S., Lande, R., Sæther, B.-E. & Dobson, F.S. (2009) Reproductive value and the stochastic demography of age-structured populations. The American Naturalist, 174, 795804.
  • Festa-Bianchet, M., Gaillard, J.M. & Côté, S.D. (2003) Variable age structure and apparent density dependence in survival of adult ungulates. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 640649.
  • Festa-Bianchet, M., Gaillard, J.M. & Jorgenson, J.T. (1998) Mass- and density-dependent reproductive success and reproductive costs in a capital breeder. The American Naturalist, 152, 367379.
  • Forcada, J., Trathan, P.N. & Murphy, E.J. (2008) Life history buffering in Antarctic mammals and birds against changing patterns of climate and environmental variation. Global Change Biology, 14, 24732488.
  • Frederiksen, M., Daunt, F., Harris, M.P. & Wanless, S. (2008) The demographic impact of extreme events: stochastic weather drives survival and population dynamics in a long-lived seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 77, 10201029.
  • Gaillard, J.M., Festa-Bianchet, M. & Yoccoz, N.G. (1998) Population dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult survival. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 13, 5863.
  • Gaillard, J.M. & Yoccoz, N.G. (2003) Temporal variation in survival of mammals: a case of environmental canalization? Ecology, 84, 32943306.
  • Gaillard, J.M., Festa-Bianchet, M., Yoccoz, N.G., Loison, A. & Toigo, C. (2000) Temporal variation in fitness components and population dynamics of large herbivores. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 31, 367393.
  • Gimenez, O. & Choquet, R. (2010) Individual heterogeneity in studies on marked animals using numerical integration: capture–recapture mixed models. Ecology, 91, 951957.
  • Hadley, G.L., Rotella, J.J. & Garrott, R.A. (2007) Evaluation of reproductive costs for Weddell seals in Erebus Bay, Antarctica. Journal of Animal Ecology, 76, 448458.
  • Hadley, G.L., Rotella, J.J., Garrott, R.A. & Nichols, J.D. (2006) Variation in probability of first reproduction of Weddell seals. Journal of Animal Ecology, 75, 10581070.
  • Heppell, S.S. (1998) Application of life-history theory and population model analysis to turtle conservation. Copeia, 1998, 367375.
  • Hindle, A.G., Horning, M., Mellish, J.E. & Lawler, J.M. (2009) Diving into old age: muscular senescence in a large-bodied, long-lived mammal, the Weddell seal (Leptonychotes weddellii). Journal of Experimental Biology, 212, 790796.
  • Jenkins, D., Watson, A. & Miller, G.R. (1963) Population studies on red grouse, Lagopus lagopus scoticus (Lath.) in north-east Scotland. Journal of Animal Ecology, 32, 317376.
  • Jenouvrier, S., Barbraud, C., Cazelles, B. & Weimerskirch, H. (2005) Modelling population dynamics of seabirds: importance of the effects of climate fluctuations on breeding proportions. Oikos, 108, 511522.
  • Jongejans, E., de Kroon, H., Tuljapurkar, S. & Shea, K. (2010) Plant populations track rather than buffer climate fluctuations. Ecology Letters, 13, 736743.
  • Karell, P., Ahola, K., Karstinen, T., Zolei, A. & Brommer, J.E. (2009) Population dynamics in a cyclic environment: consequences of cyclic food abundance on tawny owl reproduction and survival. Journal of Animal Ecology, 78, 10501062.
  • King, R., Morgan, B.J.T., Gimenez, O. & Brooks, S.P. (2009) Bayesian Analysis for Population Ecology. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL.
  • Koons, D.N., Pavard, S., Baudisch, A. & Metcalf, C.J.E. (2009) Is life-history buffering or lability adaptive in stochastic environments? Oikos, 118, 972980.
  • Lake, S., Burton, H., Barker, R. & Hindell, M. (2008) Annual reproductive rates of Weddell seals in eastern Antarctica from 1973 to 2000. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 366, 259270.
  • Lewontin, R.C. & Cohen, D. (1969) On population growth in a randomly varying environment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 62, 10561060.
  • Link, W.A. & Barker, R.J. (2010) Bayesian Inference with Ecological Applications. Academic Press, San Diego, CA.
  • Link, W.A. & Doherty, P.F. (2002) Scaling in sensitivity analysis. Ecology, 83, 32993305.
  • Link, W.A. & Nichols, J.D. (1994) On the importance of sampling variance to investigations of temporal variation in animal population size. Oikos, 69, 539544.
  • de Little, S.C., Bradshaw, C.J.A., McMahon, C.R. & Hindell, M.A. (2007) Complex interplay between intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of long-term survival trends in southern elephant seals. BMC Ecology, 7, 3, DOI: 10.1186/1472-6785-7-3.
  • Lunn, D., Spiegelhalter, D., Thomas, A. & Best, N. (2009) The BUGS project: evolution, critique and future directions. Statistics in Medicine, 28, 30493067.
  • McMahon, C.R. & Burton, H.R. (2005) Climate change and seal survival: evidence for environmentally mediated changes in elephant seal, Mirounga leonina, pup survival. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 272, 923928.
  • McMahon, C.R., Burton, H.R. & Bester, M.N. (2003) A demographic comparison of two southern elephant seal populations. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 6174.
  • McMahon, C.R. & White, G.C. (2009) Tag loss probabilities are not independent: assessing and quantifying the assumption of independent tag transition probabilities from direct observations. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 372, 3642.
  • McMahon, C.R., Hindell, M.A., Burton, H.R. & Bester, M.N. (2005) Comparison of southern elephant seal populations, and observations of a population on a demographic knife-edge. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 288, 273283.
  • Morris, W.F. & Doak, D.F. (2004) Buffering of life histories against environmental stochasticity: accounting for a spurious correlation between the variabilities of vital rates and their contributions to fitness. American Naturalist, 163, 579590.
  • Nevoux, M., Weimerskirch, H. & Barbraud, C. (2010) Long- and short-term influence of environment on recruitment in a species with highly delayed maturity. Oecologia, 162, 383392.
  • Nichols, J.D., Bart, J., Limpert, R.J., Sladen, W.J.L. & Hines, J.E. (1992) Annual survival rates of adult and immature eastern population tundra swans. Journal of Wildlife Management, 56, 485494.
  • Nur, N. & Sydeman, W.J. (1999) Survival, breeding probability and reproductive success in relation to population dynamics of Brandt’s cormorants Phalacrocorax penicillatus. Bird Study, 46, 92103.
  • Oli, M.K. & Dobson, F.S. (2003) The relative importance of life-history variables to population growth rate in mammals: Cole’s prediction revisited. American Naturalist, 161, 422440.
  • Orzack, S.H. & Tuljapurkar, S. (1989) Population dynamics in variable environments. VII. The demography and evolution of iteroparity. The American Naturalist, 133, 901923.
  • Pfister, C.A. (1998) Patterns of variance in stage-structured populations: evolutionary predictions and ecological implications. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 95, 213218.
  • Pistorius, P.A., Bester, M.N. & Kirkman, S.P. (1999) Survivorship of a declining population of southern elephant seals, Mirounga leonina, in relation to age, sex and cohort. Oecologia, 121, 201211.
  • Pistorius, P.A., Bester, M.N., Kirkman, S.P. & Boveng, P.L. (2000) Evaluation of age- and sex-dependent rates of tag loss in southern elephant seals. Journal of Wildlife Management, 64, 373380.
  • van de Pol, M., Vindenes, Y., Saether, B.-E., Engen, S., Ens, B.J., Oosterbeek, K. & Tinbergen, J.M. (2010) Effects of climate change and variability on population dynamics in a long-lived shorebird. Ecology, 91, 11921204.
  • Proffitt, K.M., Garrott, R.A. & Rotella, J.J. (2008) Long-term evaluation of body mass at weaning and postweaning survival rates of Weddell seals in Erebus Bay, Antarctica. Marine Mammal Science, 24, 677689.
  • Proffitt, K.M., Garrott, R.A., Rotella, J.J., Siniff, D.B. & Testa, J.W. (2007a) Exploring linkages between abiotic oceanographic processes and a top-trophic predator in an Antarctic ecosystem. Ecosystems, 10, 119126.
  • Proffitt, K.M., Garrott, R.A., Rotella, J.J. & Wheatley, K.E. (2007b) Environmental and senescent related variations in Weddell seal body mass: implications for age-specific reproductive performance. Oikos, 116, 16831690.
  • R Development Core Team (2010) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
  • Reid, J.M., Bignal, E.M., Bignal, S., McCracken, D.I. & Monaghan, P. (2004) Identifying the demographic determinants of population growth rate: a case study of red-billed choughs Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax. Journal of Animal Ecology, 73, 777788.
  • Ricklefs, R.E. (2010) Life-history connections to rates of aging in terrestrial vertebrates. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 1031410319.
  • Rotella, J.J., Link, W.A., Nichols, J.D., Hadley, G.L., Garrott, R.A. & Proffitt, K.M. (2009) An evaluation of density-dependent and density-independent influences on population growth rates in Weddell seals. Ecology, 90, 975984.
  • Sæther, B.-E. & Bakke, O. (2000) Avian life history variation and contribution of demographic traits to the population growth rate. Ecology, 81, 642653.
  • Schofield, M.R., Barker, R.J. & MacKenzie, D.I. (2009) Flexible hierarchical mark–recapture model for open populations using WinBugs. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 16, 369387.
  • Sim, I.M.W., Rebecca, G.W., Ludwig, S.C., Grant, M.C. & Reid, J.M. (2011) Characterizing demographic variation and contributions to population growth rate in a declining population. Journal of Animal Ecology, 80, 159170.
  • Siniff, D.B., Demaster, D.P., Hofman, R.J. & Eberhardt, L.L. (1977) Analysis of dynamics of a Weddell seal population. Ecological Monographs, 47, 319335.
  • Smith, W., Ainley, D. & Cattaneo-Vietti, R. (2007) Trophic interactions within the Ross Sea continental shelf ecosystem. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 362, 95111.
  • Stirling, I. (1969) Ecology of the Weddell Seal in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica. Ecology, 50, 573586.
  • Testa, J.W. & Siniff, D.B. (1987) Population dynamics of Weddell Seals (Leptonychotes weddelli) in Mcmurdo Sound, Antarctica. Ecological Monographs, 57, 149165.
  • van Tienderen, P.H. (2000) Elasticities and the link between demographic and evolutionary dynamics. Ecology, 81, 666679.
  • Tuljapurkar, S.D. (1982) Population dynamics in variable environments. III. Evolutionary dynamics of r-selection. Theoretical Population Biology, 21, 141165.
  • Tuljapurkar, S., Gaillard, J.M. & Coulson, T. (2009) From stochastic environments to life histories and back. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 364, 14991509.
  • Tuljapurkar, S. & Haridas, C.V. (2006) Temporal autocorrelation and stochastic population growth. Ecology Letters, 9, 327337.
  • Vaupel, J.W., Manton, K.G. & Stallard, E. (1979) The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality. Demography, 16, 439454.
  • Wheatley, K.E., Bradshaw, C.J.A., Davis, L.S., Harcourt, R.G. & Hindell, M.A. (2006) Influence of maternal mass and condition on energy transfer in Weddell seals. Journal of Animal Ecology, 75, 724733.
  • White, G.C. & Burnham, K.P. (1999) Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study, 46, 120139.
  • Williams, B.K., Nichols, J.D. & Conroy, M.J. (2002) Analysis and Management of Animal Populations. Academic Press, New York.