Novel coupling of individual-based epidemiological and demographic models predicts realistic dynamics of tuberculosis in alien buffalo
Version of Record online: 26 OCT 2011
© 2011 The Authors. Journal of Applied Ecology © 2011 British Ecological Society
Journal of Applied Ecology
Volume 49, Issue 1, pages 268–277, February 2012
How to Cite
Bradshaw, C. J. A., McMahon, C. R., Miller, P. S., Lacy, R. C., Watts, M. J., Verant, M. L., Pollak, J. P., Fordham, D. A., Prowse, T. A. A. and Brook, B. W. (2012), Novel coupling of individual-based epidemiological and demographic models predicts realistic dynamics of tuberculosis in alien buffalo. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49: 268–277. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2011.02081.x
- Issue online: 17 JAN 2012
- Version of Record online: 26 OCT 2011
- Received 16 June 2011; accepted 29 September 2011 Handling Editor: Julia Jones
Fig. S1. Schematic diagram of the interface between Vortex and Outbreak programs as controlled by MetaModel Manager.
Fig. S2. Deterministic stable-stage distribution for buffalo from a tuberculosis prevalence model run in Vortex only.
Fig. S3. Mean progression of tuberculosis and estimated population size of free-ranging swamp buffalo.
Fig. S4. Predicted reduction in tuberculosis prevalence at various proportional culling rates.
Fig. S5. Reduction in tuberculosis infection rates in domestic and free-ranging cattle and buffalo during the Australian Brucellosis and Tuberculosis Eradication Campaign.
Fig. S6. Disease-prevalence comparison between the fully MetaModel Manager-coupled Vortex-Outbreak model and a demographically simplified Outbreak-only model.
Appendix S1. Supporting Methods (software information, disease parameters for Outbreak, deterministic Reed-Frost model, demographic parameters for Vortex).
Appendix S2. Example Vortex, Outbreak and MetaModel Manager computer code.
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