The epidemiology of childhood asthma


Professor of Epidemiology Department of Public Health Sciences St George's Hospital Medical School Cranmer Terrace London SW17 ORE UK Tel. +44 181 725 5429 Fax: +44 181 725 3584 E-mail:


Variability is the hallmark of childhood asthma. Conceptually defined as variable airflow obstruction, asthma affects individual children through a variety of clinical manifestations. Particular controversy surrounds the nature of wheezing in early infancy and its relationship to atopic asthma of later onset. Asthma prognosis is also highly variable and only to a limited extent predictable by clinical indicators in early childhood. Long-term follow-up studies suggest a complex pattern of remission and relapse as wheezy children are followed through adolescence into adult life. Similarly, the population burden of asthma is highly variable, both over time and between countries. The balance of evidence worldwide suggests a modest but sustained increase in the prevalence of asthma symptoms over the past three decades. Superimposed on this have been larger changes in diagnostic fashion and use of health services for childhood asthma in many countries. There is substantial international variation in the prevalence of asthma symptoms, and marked urban-rural differences have been reported from several African countries. These contrast with the more uniform distribution of the disease within industrialized countries, reflecting its ubiquity in affluent societies.