Erik I. Svensson, Section for Animal Ecology, Lund University, Ecology Building, SE-223 62 Lund, Sweden. Tel.: +46-46-2223819; fax: +46-46-2224716; e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Conspicuous heritable polymorphisms are useful to address the question if morph frequencies are stable or whether they fluctuate between generations. Ecological geneticists have studied colour polymorphisms in the past, but there are few long-term studies of genetic dynamics across multiple generations. We studied morph-frequency dynamics and female fecundity in the trimorphic blue-tailed damselfly (Ischnura elegans). The morphs include a male-coloured (androchrome) type of female, which is thought to be maintained by frequency-dependent sexual conflict. Morph frequencies changed significantly between years across all populations. There was evidence for directional frequency change since androchrome females increased in 9 of 10 populations across a 4-year period. There was heterogeneity between populations in their evolutionary trajectories, partly caused by population age: androchrome frequencies were initially high in young populations but gradually decreased and approached the level of old populations. We discuss the possible causes of morph-frequency fluctuations, and the role of morph-specific fecundity, dispersal and other forces influencing evolutionary dynamics in this system.
How selection and other forces such as genetic drift, mutation and migration mould patterns of genetic variation in natural populations is a central topic in population genetics and evolutionary biology. These questions attracted considerable interest among early theoretical population geneticists (Fisher, 1930; Wright, 1931; Lewontin, 1974) and they continue to be in focus of current evolutionary studies (Lynch & Walsh, 1998). The fitness consequences and extent of adaptive genetic variation in natural populations is of much interest to ecologists and evolutionary biologists, which is exemplified by many recent long-term field studies and reciprocal transplant experiments in different taxa (Mousseau et al., 2000). Several recent empirical studies have demonstrated rapid evolutionary change and the presence of ample adaptive genetic variation in natural populations (Reznick et al., 1997; Huey et al., 2000; Meriläet al., 2001; Grant & Grant, 2002).
Before the development of molecular biology, evolutionary biologists interested in genetic variation in natural populations often studied visible marker phenotypes with a known genetic basis (Lewontin, 1974). This was the basis of the mainly British tradition of ‘ecological genetics’ (Ford, 1975), although this research approach was also popular in France, North America and Russia (Provine, 1986). Examples of study systems include shell-colour patterns in Cepaea snails (Wright, 1978), chromosomal inversions in Drosophila (Dobzhansky, 1970), melanic and nonmelanic moths (Haldane, 1956; Cook, 2003) and pollination polymorphisms and self-incompatability systems in plant populations (Eckert & Barrett, 1995; Ågren & Ericson, 1996). The genetic basis of the phenotypic traits in these polymorphic systems is often simple and due to one or a few loci. By following natural populations over multiple generations, researchers could literally observe allele frequency changes directly, by comparing the frequencies of the morphs between years or populations.
There are still relatively few long-term ongoing studies of morph-frequency dynamics in natural populations. Notable exceptions are the classical ecological genetic studies and more recent work on colour polymorphisms in lizards and insects, and some plant species such as the Linanthus flower colour polymorphism in California (Schemske & Bierzychudek, 2001). In this paper, we present data on morph-frequency changes in 13 populations across four generations in the colour polymorphic European damselfly Ischnura elegans. Many Ischnura species contain two or three female colour morphs, which are thought to be maintained by sexually antagonistic male–female mating interactions (Robertson, 1985; Cordero, 1992; Cordero et al., 1998; Van Gossum et al., 2001). A genetic basis of these colour polymorphisms has been confirmed by breeding experiments in three of the different species of Ischnura (Cordero, 1990). We have recently developed an explicit population genetic model which shows that multiple female morphs are maintained through frequency-dependent male mating harassment of common female phenotypes, similar to the apostatic survival selection on common prey caused by predators (Svensson et al., 2005).
Up until now, there have been no long-term studies of morph-frequency changes across multiple generations in I. elegans. Previous studies on such colour morphs in this and related species have either compared neutral molecular variation with morph-frequency variation between populations to indirectly estimate selection (Andrés et al., 2000) or estimated morph-specific mortalities using mark-resight studies (Cordero, 1992; Cordero et al., 1998). Previous studies aiming to investigate morph fecundities have failed to detect any difference between female morphs (Fincke, 1994). Given that sexually antagonistic selection may affect fecundity rather than mortality (Holland & Rice, 1999), additional data on fecundity differences between such colour morphs are clearly needed. In this paper, we therefore present data on fecundity variation between morphs in different populations and years.
The goal of this study was not to test directly whether sexually antagonistic selection is the ultimate cause of the maintenance of this polymorphism. Rather, our starting point is that some sort of balancing selection maintains this polymorphism and we do instead search for signatures of frequency-dependent or other forms of selection, which should be revealed as morph-frequency changes between generations and/or differential female fecundity. We discuss the role of both biotic and abiotic factors that could influence morph-frequency-dynamics in this system.
Material and methods
Natural history of Ischnura elegans and genetics of colour morphs
Ischnura elegans is a small damselfly that occurs in Europe from northern Spain to southern Sweden; its distribution also extends further into eastern Europe and Asia (Askew, 1988). It spends 1 year in the larval stage and emerges as an adult in late May or early June in Sweden (Askew, 1988). After emergence, females pass through a series of ontogenetic colour changes over the course of 6–8 days, until they reach sexual maturity when colour is fixed and the morphs are visible and possible to classify (Askew, 1988; Robinson & Allgeyer, 1996). The three female colour morphs that occur in this species are androchrome females, infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta (Cordero et al., 1998). Androchromes are blue and have similar patterning and colouration as males: three black bands on the thorax and blue on the thorax and abdomen. Infuscans females have similar patterning as males but olive-green colouration. Infuscans-obsoleta females have only one black band on the thorax and are pinkish in the immature stage, but their thorax colour becomes increasingly darker and more brownish towards the adult stage. A blue band on the abdomen is present at the adult stage only in androchrome females.
After reaching sexual maturity, males and females are found copulating, often close to water, where oviposition takes place (E. Svensson, personal observations). Females in I. elegans and other Ischnura species mate with multiple males (Cooper et al., 1996; Sirot & Brockmann, 2001) and copulations can last for 5–6 h, if not interrupted (Robinson & Allgeyer, 1996). Females oviposit alone, in vegetation close to the water's surface (Askew, 1988).
The genetic basis of colour polymorphism in Ischnura is due to a single mendelian locus, or alternatively, a set of tightly linked loci (Cordero, 1990). In the sister species of I. elegans, Ischnura graellsii, it has been demonstrated via laboratory breeding experiments over three generations that the colour polymorphism is caused by an autosomal locus with three alleles in a dominance hierarchy and with sex-limited expression to females (males are monomorphic) (Cordero, 1990). Analyses of hybrid progeny between I. elegans and I. graellsii indicate that the genetic basis is identical in these two sister species (A. Cordero, personal communications). If the three alleles are denoted p, q and r, then A-females are pp, pq or pr, I-females are qq or qr and IO-females are rr. Thus, the androchrome allele (p) is dominant over both q and r, the infuscans allele (q) is dominant over r, and the r allele is recessive to both p and q.
Study area and study populations
We studied morph frequency changes, fecundity and population dynamics in a series of damselfly populations in southern Sweden during the summer seasons 2000–2003 (four damselfly generations). The study populations, 13 in total, of which 10 were visited in all years, are small shallow ponds, located within an agricultural landscape. One of the most common damselflies in these ponds is I. elegans. Other common damselflies in these ponds are Coenagrion puella, Coenagrion pulchellum, Coenagrion hastulatum and Enallagma cyathigerum. All 13 ponds are geographically isolated from each other and the pair-wise distances between them range from 1.083 to 41.113 km (Mean = 14.54, SE = 0.93, statistics from 78 pair-wise comparisons between the ponds). Some of these ponds are old and more or less natural wetlands (Habo Gård, Lomma, Vallby Mosse and Vombs Vattenverk), whereas the other ponds were constructed during the period 1990–1999 as part of an environmental program (Flyinge 30 A1, Flyinge 30 A3, Hofterup, Höje Å 6, Höje Å 7 and Höje Å 14). This program was partly funded by the European Union (EU), and aims to increase biodiversity in the agricultural landscape (see http://www.ekologgruppen.com/htm/start.htm for further information).
Field and laboratory work
We visited the study populations at regular intervals during four summer seasons (June–July) 2000–2003. During these visits, we caught as many damselflies as possible, and determined sex and age of each individual and, in the case of females, we also classified them according to colour morph. A number of females were kept for estimation of fecundity and morphometric data collection, whereas all other females were released at the site of capture. The aim of our regular visits was to get reliable estimates of annual morph frequencies and maximize the detection probability of rare morphs. We were successful in this regard, since most populations that were visited more than once during a year contained all three morphs. When a population was visited only one or a few times in a single year and contained only one or two morphs, it is possible that the rarest morph (infuscans-obsoleta) went undetected during these visits and such populations were excluded from further analyses. The mean number of visits per year (±SE) to the intensively studied populations was 3.41 (±0.31). The mean number of days between separate population visits was 9.65 ± 0.82 (n = 139 unique visits in total). Multiple captures of the same individuals during a single visit were avoided entirely, since captured individuals were kept in plastic containers during the entire catching session. Multiple captures of the same individuals at different visits are unlikely to affect the results, given the long intervals between our population visits (see above) and the fact that the expected life-span of I. elegans in the field is considerable shorter than the average length of these intervals (Corbet, 1999).
During 2001–2003, but not during 2000, we also estimated adult population densities by actively catching as many damselflies as possible during sessions that lasted for 30–60 min, a field methodology that has been used in previous studies on other Ischnura species (Andrés et al., 2000). Most of these density estimates are available from sunny days when I. elegans is mainly active and hence these estimates reflect an upper limit of individual encounter rate in a given population. Multiple density estimates from a single population visited several times were averaged to minimize measurement error and obtain a more stable measure of long-term density. Population densities in this paper are expressed as number of individuals caught per minute (inds./min).
Morph frequencies for populations were estimated as the number of each particular morph, divided by the total number of females caught. Since only one of the female morphs (infuscans-obsoleta) can be safely classified at the immature stage and the two other morphs (androchromes and infuscans) share a similar ontogenetic colour phase (violacea; Askew, 1988), we assumed that the proportion of the these two morphs among the immatures was similar to the morph frequency among the adults. This assumes that mortality among these immature violacea females is random with respect to morph, which seems reasonable given that the mature colour morph that is subject to selection is not expressed and visible at this early ontogenetic stage (Cordero, 1992).
During 2001–2003, we used a total of 1000 females from the most intensively studied populations to estimate fecundity of the different morphs in different populations. Females were given unique identification numbers and set up in small plastic containers (approximately 3 cm in diameter and 3 cm in height) during oviposition. Containers with females were kept in an indoor laboratory (about 20 °C and 12 h light regime) during the entire oviposition period (about 3 days). Females were not fed during the oviposition period hence the number of eggs laid by a female will only reflect her food intake during her past recent field situation. To stimulate oviposition, we provided each female with a piece of wet filter paper, which usually elicits oviposition (82.2% of females oviposited within 1 or 2 days). After 2 days, the females were taken out of the container and released at a nearby pond close to the laboratory. The pond was located >1 km away from the closest source population, making it unlikely that females that oviposited in our laboratory were counted twice in the monitoring of population morph frequencies. The eggs obtained from females were left for an additional day. At day 3, we counted the eggs. Freshly laid eggs are transparent, but after 24 h fertile eggs turn brown, so waiting until day 3 facilitated the detection and counting of eggs. The mean number of eggs laid per female was 267.4 (SE = 5.10).
Our fecundity estimate, although being a cross-sectional fitness component, is likely to be correlated with total reproductive fitness. Previous field studies on damselflies have indeed revealed that fecundity per clutch explains between 10 and 50% of female total lifetime fecundity (Fincke, 1986; Corbet, 1999). Furthermore, although females are capable of laying multiple clutches under continuous access to food in the laboratory and under favourable weather conditions, the daily survival rates of this small insect in the field are very low (Corbet, 1999), particularly in the cold and rainy summers of southern Sweden which is the northern limit of this species’ distribution (E. Svensson, unpublished data). Hence, in our study area, many, perhaps even the majority, of females may only survive long enough in the field to lay one batch of eggs. However, it is possible that females that laid eggs during the brief laboratory stay would have allocated their eggs in the field over several different clutches, in which case our fecundity estimates should reveal the entire reproductive potential of field-caught females from populations differing in ecology.
Of the females that laid eggs, 89.2% were old and 10.8% were immature, judged by the stiffness and dryness of their wings. A general linear model (GLM) with four independent variables revealed that there were significant differences in average female fecundity between populations (F14,801 = 3.491; P < 0.001), years (F2,801 = 4.013; P < 0.05) and morphs (F2,801 = 10.477; P < 0.001), but no effects of female age (F1,801 = 2.343; P = 0.13). Thus, fecundity differences between morphs and populations reported in this paper are not confounded by age differences between morphs. We aimed to obtain fecundity estimates for all three morphs in all populations studied, but due to low sample sizes of infuscans-obsoleta in some populations and some seasons, we were not always able to achieve this goal. Sample sizes for the different morphs will therefore vary between populations and years.
Statistical analyses, model building and model interpretation
All statistical analyses in this paper were performed using the software STATISTICA, Version 6.0 (Statsoft, 2003), with the exception of the repeated-measures analysis, which was performed in PROC MIXED of SAS (SAS Institute, 1996). In the repeated-measures analysis, we chose the unstructured covariance structure option after first having tested for compound and autoregressive 1 symmetry (SAS Institute, I., 1996). These two alternative forms of covariance structure were rejected in favour of the unstructured option based on the values of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) (SAS Institute, I., 1996). The repeated-measures analysis was a mixed model in which year entered as a random effect whereas population age was treated as a fixed effect. All statistical tests in this paper are two-tailed and all variables were normally distributed, unless otherwise stated. Hence, means and standard errors (SEs) are provided throughout the paper.
When investigating global morph-frequency dynamics (change in morph frequencies) across all years and populations, we used generalized linear models with a binomial error structure and logit link function. Models were constructed so that the probability of being a particular morph (1, being that morph; 0, being another morph) was the dependent variable, and population and year were the predictor variables (factors). We performed this analysis first for androchrome females (the most common morph), and the model had the following form:
where a is an intercept, b and c are the co-efficients of the main effects (population and year) and d is the co-efficient of the interaction effect (POP × YEAR). This model can be interpreted in the following way: the POP term will reveal any significant differences in androchrome frequency between populations. The YEAR term will reveal any significant changes in androchrome frequency between years (generations) and hence will reflect global changes in the genetic composition of the populations (i.e. evolutionary changes). Finally, the POP × YEAR term will reveal the existence and degree of synchronicity or asynchronicity of morph frequency changes in the different populations. If androchrome frequency changes are entirely synchronous and identical across all populations, the POP × YEAR term will be weak or nonsignificant. If the POP × YEAR term is significant, it will reflect the fact that the pattern of androchrome frequency change between years is at least partly asynchronous and different populations follow different evolutionary trajectories. We also present the model results when the dependent variable is the probability of being one of the other morphs (infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta). For all these generalized models, we checked for evidence of overdispersion (i.e. stat/d.f. >> 1), but in no case it was found and hence there was no need to rescale the deviance parameter.
For the fecundity data, we used general linear models (GLMs) with female fecundity (number of eggs) as the dependent variable, and population, year, morph and all two-way interactions between these factors as predictor variables. Type-III sums-of-squares (SS) was used, since they are suitable when interaction effects are of particular interest and when data is unbalanced, compared to type-I or -II SS (Shaw & Mitchell-Olds, 1993). In these models, interaction effects involving morph (POP ×MORPH and YEAR × MORPH) will reflect spatial and temporal variation in morph fecundities, a prerequisite for the maintenance of genetic polymorphisms through spatially and temporally varying selection (Kirkpatrick, 1996). The YEAR × MORPH interaction will reflect global changes in morph fecundities between years, changes which could either by driven by abiotic factors such as changing temperature between years or by biotic factors such as an altered degree of intraspecific competition, caused by fluctuating population densities or variation in morph frequencies. The POP × MORPH interaction indicates whether the fecundities of the different morphs differ between populations, which are expected if it is mainly spatially varying selection that is responsible for the maintenance of a genetic polymorphism (Gillespie, 1973).
Morph frequency variation between populations and years
Data on average morph frequencies and morph frequency changes across years are presented in Figs 1 and 2. Across all populations and years, there was a decrease in frequency of androchromes and a parallel increase in frequency of infuscans (Fig. 2). This can be seen as a downward movement of the population morph frequencies in the ternary plots in Fig. 1, away from the uppermost apex which represent 100% androchromes, down towards the lower corners in the same plots, with increasing frequency of infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta. This decrease in androchrome frequency was most noticeable in Flyinge 30 A1 and 30 A3 (Fig. 1b–c), Hofterupssjön, Höje Å 6 and Höje Å 7 (Fig. 1g–i), and Lomma (Fig. 1k). However, it is also worth pointing out that other populations, such as Gunnesbo and Habo Gård (Figs. 1e–f), Vallby Mosse (Fig. 1l) and Vombs Vattenverk (Fig. 1m), changed their morph frequencies less across years and appeared to be more stable.
The generalized linear models confirmed the general picture of changing morph frequencies between generations: there was a significant decrease in the frequency of androchromes and an increase in the frequency of the two other morphs from 2000 to 2003 (Table 1; note that these tests only include the 10 populations, which were sampled every year during 2000–2003). The overall frequency of androchrome females in these populations decreased from 82.4 to 66.2% over this time period, which is partly reflected by the YEAR term in the generalized linear model (Table 1). To further illustrate this, we compared the morph frequencies at the end of the study period (2003) with those at the beginning (2000) and tested for the presence of a systematic change using paired t-tests (i.e. morph frequency in 2003 vs. morph frequency in 2000). We performed this test for all the 10 populations for which we had a complete series and that were monitored in all four seasons. The long-term decline in androchrome frequencies from 2000 to 2003 was observed in 9 of the 10 populations and was highly significant (Paired t-test: t = 3.966; d.f. = 9; P =0.003). However, there was also some heterogeneity between populations in their androchrome frequency changes, as revealed by a significant POP × YEAR interaction (Table 1).
Table 1. Generalized linear models (binomial error, logit link function) of the probability of belonging to a particular morph (yes = 1; no = 0) as a function of population (POP), year (YEAR) and the POP × YEAR interaction.
Data from 10 populations that were followed during all four seasons (2000–2003).
For details about sample sizes and particular population trajectories, see Results and Figs 1–3.
(a) Androchrome morph
YEAR × POP
(b) Infuscans morph
YEAR × POP
(c) Infuscans-obsoleta morph
YEAR × POP
The general decline in androchrome frequencies was more pronounced in some populations than in others (Figs 1 and 2). To further investigate this, we separated the 10 populations which we followed during all four seasons into two different groups based on population age: ‘young’ populations in the new wetlands that were created during 1990–1999 (Figs 1b,c,g–j) and ‘old’ populations that were either natural wetlands or that were formed more than two or three decades ago (Figs 1f,k–m). Both the rate and pattern of decline in androchrome frequencies differed between young and old populations (POPULATION AGE × TIME: F = 8.89; P < 0.01; POPULATION AGE × TIME2 : F = 7.92; P < 0.05. Den. d.f. =2; Num. d.f. = 8 for both terms). The androchrome females were more frequent (around 90%) in the young study populations at the beginning of the time period, whereafter they gradually declined and the frequencies approached the same level as in the older populations (about 66%; see Fig. 3).
In parallel with the decrease in androchrome frequencies, infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta females almost doubled in frequency from 2000 to 2003, again with significant heterogeneity between populations (Table 1). Across all populations, the frequency of infuscans increased from 13.1 to 25.9% (Fig. 2b), and this long-term increase was significant (Paired t-test: t = 2.780; d.f. = 9; P < 0.05). The frequency of infuscans-obsoleta increased from 4.5 to 7.9% from 2000 to 2003 (Fig. 2c), although this increase was not significant (Paired t-test: t = 1.493; d.f. = 9; P = n.s.).
Population densities and morph fecundities
There was significant variation between years and populations in the density of I. elegans (Table 2). Höje Å 6, Höje Å 14 and Lomma had the highest population densities, whereas Flyinge 30 A1, Hofterupssjön and Höje Å 7 had the lowest densities (Fig. 4).
Table 2. anova for the effects of year and population on density of I. elegans.
For presentation of least-square means of the population effect, see Fig. 4.
Density estimates obtained from active capture of damselflies during 30–60 min (See Material and methods).
The two-way interaction (Year × Population) was not significant and hence only a main-effects model is presented.
Type-III sums of squares were used. Full model: F11,108 = 2.934; r2 = 0.152; P = 0.0020.
Across all years and populations, the average fecundities of the three morphs differed significantly (Table 3), being similar for androchrome females and infuscans-obsoleta (mean fecundities: 251.9 and 238.3, respectively) and about 15–21% higher for infuscans (mean fecundity: 289.2; see Fig. 5a). However, there were significant differences between years in annual fecundity, and the three morphs changed fecundity differently between years, reflected in a significant MORPH × YEAR interaction (Table 3). Infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta females increased their fecundity relative to androchrome females from 2001 to 2003 (Fig. 5b).
Table 3. Two-way anova for the effects of population, morph, year and all two-way interactions on female fecundity in I. elegans.
For presentation of least-square means of the MORPH and MORPH × YEAR terms, see Fig. 5.
The three-way interaction (POP × MORPH × YEAR) was not significant.
Type-III sums of squares were used. Full model: F53,656 = 2.825; r2 = 0.120; P < 0.001.
POP × MORPH
POP × YEAR
MORPH × YEAR
The colour polymorphism in I. elegans shows many signs of being a dynamic polymorphism, in which morph frequencies change significantly between generations (Table 1; Figs 1–3). It has been suggested that the colour polymorphisms in the genus Ischnura and other damselfly species are neutral with respect to selection (Fincke, 1994). The hypothesis of selective neutrality has been difficult to test, since there have been no replicated long-term data on morph-frequency changes across multiple generations in different populations. The results from this longitudinal study do not support the neutrality hypothesis. If genetic drift were responsible for these morph-frequency changes, we would not expect any directional change across the years, as we observed for androchrome and infuscans frequencies (Figs. 2a,b). If the polymorphism were entirely neutral with respect to selection, genetic drift would be the only force acting on these colour morphs and the frequencies of androchromes would be expected to increase in some populations and decrease in others (Hartl & Clark, 1997). This random-walk prediction from genetic drift contrasts with the general frequency decrease we actually observed (Fig. 2a).
A more direct indication that the polymorphism is subject to selection comes from the differences in absolute and relative fecundities of the morphs between and within years (Table 3; Fig. 5). Although our fecundity estimate is only a component of total fitness, we note that the 15–21% higher fecundity of infuscans females compared to the two other morphs potentially constitutes a very strong fitness advantage. It is of course possible that this fecundity advantage is either counteracted by selection during other parts of the life-cycle (e.g. during the larval stage), through other fitness components (e.g. female life-span) or is a temporary advantage that will disappear over coming years. Previous claims that such colour morphs do not differ in fecundity, however, were based on sample sizes of only a few dozen individuals (Fincke, 1994). The data in this study do indeed indicate that the polymorphism is subject to selection acting through differential female fecundity. Further evidence against selective neutrality of the colour morphs in Ischnura comes from a recent study on I. graellsi (the sister species of I. elegans), which showed that there was a significant discrepancy between morph-frequency variation between populations and neutral molecular population divergence (Andrés et al., 2000). These data, in combination with the novel findings in this study, suggest a role for balancing selection in the maintenance of this polymorphism.
Long-term changes and synchronous genetic dynamics
The overall decrease in androchrome frequencies and the increase in infuscans frequencies reveal that there is some degree of synchrony across populations in morph-frequency dynamics (Figs 1 and 2; Table 1). Which are the causes of these partly synchronous long-term changes? Presumably, they are caused by some abiotic factor(s) that are affecting most populations similarly, e.g. a direct or indirect effect of temperature. A role for temperature is indicated by the fact that the recent summers in Sweden have become progressively warmer over the last decade and in 2002 and 2003, the summer temperatures were actually the highest over the last 500 years in Europe (Luterberger et al., 2004).
Previous studies on other colour polymorphic insects have shown that different morphs often differ in temperature-related performance (Forsman, 2001; Forsman et al., 2002; True, 2003) and similar morph differences may exist in Ischnura. Other recent studies on insects have revealed the presence of substantial genetic variation in temperature tolerance within populations (Bradshaw & Holzapfel, 2001; Rank & Dahlhoff, 2002). In this context, we note that the relative fecundities of infuscans and infuscans-obsoleta females increased relative to androchrome females from 2001 to 2003 (Table 3; Fig. 5b). This is consistent with a temperature-related reproductive advantage of these two morphs over androchrome females. The increased relative fecundities of these two other morphs do coincide with the decline of androchrome frequencies over the same time period (Fig. 2a).
We are not aware of any previous studies on synchronous morph-frequency changes or allele frequency changes across multiple populations. The topic of synchrony is not much discussed in population genetics, but ecologists working on population dynamics have often documented synchronous changes in population densities between more or less distant populations (Koenig, 1999). Synchronies in population dynamics have been explained either by dispersal or through some global abiotic factors that are affecting all populations more or less equally (Koenig, 1999). The relative importance of dispersal and abiotic factors in causing synchrony is still subject to discussion, but most workers seem to agree that dispersal cannot be the entire explanation for synchronous population dynamics (Koenig, 1999). That there may be some limited role for dispersal in I. elegans is indicated by the fact that the pattern of androchrome frequency decline differs between young and old populations (Fig. 3), which is further discussed below. We are currently investigating the degree of gene flow between our study populations, using AFLP-markers (unpublished data).
Population variation and local frequency dynamics
Although there were significant changes in morph frequencies between years, there was also heterogeneity between populations in their evolutionary trajectories (Table 1). Some populations changed their morph frequencies substantially, whereas others had more stable frequencies (Figs 1–3). The significant population term (Table 1) shows that there were differences between populations in their morph frequencies even when controlling for the annual frequency changes. Such population differences in morph frequencies could arise from ecological differences, e.g. differences in densities of I. elegans (Fig. 4), densities of other co-existing damselflies (E. cyathigerum and Coenagrion spp.), or differences in ectoparasite intensities between populations (E. Svensson & A. Coreau, unpublished data).
The differing patterns of androchrome-frequency dynamics in young and old populations (Fig. 3), are interesting since they suggest differential patterns of dispersal between morphs and that new populations may not yet have reached evolutionary equilibrium. Our data indicate that androchrome females may be more prone to disperse and colonize novel areas, leading to higher initial frequencies of this morph in young populations (Fig. 3). Alternatively, some ecological factors may differ between young and old populations that are unrelated to population age per se. One such ecological difference is the amount of surrounding vegetation around ponds: newer populations have in general less amount of high vegetation close to the shores (E. Svensson, personal observations). However, the rate of decline of androchrome frequencies in young populations (Fig. 3) is too fast to be attributed to these ecological differences, since vegetation differences have not changed at the same rate. We therefore suggest that the differences in androchrome frequency change between young and old populations is indeed caused by population age per se, and is unlikely to be caused by some other ecological factor such as changes in vegetation patterns.
The difference between young and old populations is likely to reflect morph-specific dispersal, but it is also entirely possible that androchrome females, as male-mimics, may have some sexual selection advantages in the newly founded populations. This androchrome advantage could then decrease over time. For instance, sex ratios may be more male biased in newly founded populations, leading to extensive male mating harassment, which may favour androchrome females over the two other morphs. These possibilities, along with potential morphological dispersal adaptations (e.g. differences in wing length between morphs) will be discussed in more detail in a future paper.
Does frequency-dependence limit population divergence in morph frequencies?
The three female colour morphs in I. elegans are apparently present in all populations we have studied to date, and there is no sign that they are lost through local genetic drift. The long-term directional changes we have observed are inconsistent with the action of genetic drift, which would lead to phenotype fixation, loss of morphs and monomorphism in local populations (see discussion above). However, even if genetic drift does not play a major role in this system, the problem of morph maintenance remains. Any local ecological differences that would favour one of the morphs through frequency-independent selection would ultimately also cause monomorphism. The observed variation in morph frequencies between populations is consistent with a (minor) role for genetic drift, or frequency-independent selection at the local level, operating against the stronger force of balancing selection that is likely to be present in all populations.
We suggest that negative frequency-dependent selection in favour of the rare morphs counteracts population divergence in morph frequencies. Male mating behaviour fuels this form of frequency-dependent selection, since as soon as a morph becomes too common in a population, its fecundity will decrease due to excessive male mating harassment (Fincke, 2004; Svensson et al., 2005). Increased male mating harassment directed towards common morphs thus generates a form of apostatic and frequency-dependent sexually antagonistic selection that maintains the polymorphism and prevents fixation of morphs in local populations (Svensson et al., 2005).
Colour polymorphisms and evolutionary dynamics in ecological time
The results in this study illustrate the value of visual marker phenotypes, such as colour polymorphisms to study evolutionary dynamics. By following multiple populations over time, and thus have both spatial and temporal replication, one can document evolutionary dynamics in the form of both long- and short-term frequency changes (Figs 1 and 2) and try to elucidate the various forces acting on such polymorphisms. Moreover, when patterns of morph-frequency dynamics differ between populations of different age (Fig. 3), inferences about morph-specific dispersal behaviour and colonization ability can be made. Long-term and population-biological approaches should preferably be integrated with short-term studies aiming to estimate fitness components such as fecundity (Fig. 5), to obtain more direct evidence for selection on morphs. Such integrative approaches are needed, since much previous work in these systems have only studied one or a few populations at a single point in time and rarely estimated other fitness components than mortality (see Introduction).
We are grateful to Thomas Gosden, Roger Härdling, Jan-Åke Nilsson, Geoff Oxford, Mike Ritchie and Menno Schilthuizen for comments on the early drafts of the manuscript. We also wish to thank Anna Antonsson, Audrey Coreau, Tom Gosden, Hedvig Hogforss, Beatriz Jañes, Jane Jönsson, Anna Persson and Patric Stenroth for invaluable assistance in the field and in the laboratory. This study is part of a long-term study of the ecological genetics and evolutionary biology of I. elegans. The Swedish Research Council (VR) and Oscar & Lilli Lamms Stiftelse have provided financial support (to E. S.).