Objective: Circulating levels of KL-6, a high MW glycoprotein (MUC1 mucin), are elevated in a majority of patients with a number of interstitial lung diseases, including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, KL-6 levels vary from patient to patient. The aim of the present study was to determine whether the serum KL-6 level at the time of diagnosis predicts prognosis in IPF.
Methods: The relationship between clinical variables and prognosis in 27 patients with IPF were analysed retrospectively. The diagnosis was made by histological examination (n = 16) or on clinical findings including high-resolution CT scanning (n = 11). All patients were followed up for at least 3 years. Variables such as age, FVC%, PaO2 at rest, initial LDH level, C-reactive protein and KL-6 were used for analysis.
Results: At the cut-off level determined by receiver operating characteristic curves, LDH and KL-6 showed a significant correlation with the patient's prognosis by univariate analysis. However, multivariate analysis revealed that only KL-6 was a predictor of prognosis. The patients were categorized by their serum KL-6 levels (as above or below the cut-off level of 1000 U/mL) and their survival estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. The difference in median survival between the two groups was significant. The median survival of patients with low KL-6 was more than 36 months, whereas that of patients with high KL-6 was only 18 months.
Conclusion: These results suggest that initial evaluation of serum KL-6 level can predict survival in patients with IPF.