Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges

  1. COLIN J. YATES1,
  2. JANE ELITH2,
  3. ANDREW M. LATIMER3,
  4. DAVID LE MAITRE4,
  5. GUY F. MIDGLEY5,
  6. FRANK M. SCHURR7,
  7. ADAM G. WEST6

Article first published online: 25 NOV 2009

DOI: 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2009.02044.x

Issue

Austral Ecology

Austral Ecology

Volume 35, Issue 4, pages 374–391, June 2010

Additional Information

How to Cite

YATES, C. J., ELITH, J., LATIMER, A. M., LE MAITRE, D., MIDGLEY, G. F., SCHURR, F. M. and WEST, A. G. (2010), Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges. Austral Ecology, 35: 374–391. doi: 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2009.02044.x

Author Information

  1. 1

    Science Division, Western Australian Department of Environment and Conservation, LMB 104, Bentley Delivery Centre, WA 6983, Australia (Email: colin.yates@dec.wa.gov.au),

  2. 2

    School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia;

  3. 3

    Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis, California, USA;

  4. 4

    Natural Resources and the Environment CSIR, Stellenbosch,

  5. 5

    South African Biodiversity Institute, Claremont,

  6. 6

    Botany Department, University of Capetown, Rondebosch, Capetown, South Africa; and

  7. 7

    Institute of Biochemistry and Biology, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 26 MAY 2010
  2. Article first published online: 25 NOV 2009
  3. Accepted for publication July 2009.

SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

ARTICLE TOOLS

View Full Article (HTML) Get PDF (171K)

Cited in:

CrossRef

This article has been cited by:

  1. 1
    Kimberly P. McCallum, Greg R. Guerin, Martin F. Breed, Andrew J. Lowe, Combining population genetics, species distribution modelling and field assessments to understand a species vulnerability to climate change, Austral Ecology, 2013, 38, 4
    Direct Link:
  2. 2
    Henning Nottebrock, Karen J. Esler, Frank M. Schurr, Effects of intraspecific and community density on the lifetime fecundity of long-lived shrubs, Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 2013, 15, 3, 150

    CrossRef

  3. 3
    Juliano Sarmento Cabral, Florian Jeltsch, Wilfried Thuiller, Steven Higgins, Guy F. Midgley, Anthony G. Rebelo, Mathieu Rouget, Frank M. Schurr, Impacts of past habitat loss and future climate change on the range dynamics of South African Proteaceae, Diversity and Distributions, 2013, 19, 4
    Direct Link:
  4. 4
    GREG R. GUERIN, ANDREW J. LOWE, Multi-species distribution modelling highlights the Adelaide Geosyncline, South Australia, as an important continental-scale arid-zone refugium, Austral Ecology, 2013, 38, 4
    Direct Link:
  5. 5
    Katinka X. Ruthrof, Michael Renton, Kingsley Dixon, Overcoming restoration thresholds and increasing revegetation success for a range of canopy species in a degraded urban Mediterranean-type woodland ecosystem, Australian Journal of Botany, 2013, 61, 2, 139

    CrossRef

  6. 6
    Greg R. Guerin, Ed Biffin, Andrew J. Lowe, Spatial modelling of species turnover identifies climate ecotones, climate change tipping points and vulnerable taxonomic groups, Ecography, 2013, 36, 6
    Direct Link:
  7. 7
    Joshua J. Lawler, Carrie A. Schloss, Ailene K. Ettinger, Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, 2013,

    CrossRef

  8. 8
    Merrilyn Serong, Alan Lill, Changes in bird assemblages during succession following disturbance in secondary wet forests in south-eastern Australia, Emu, 2012, 112, 2, 117

    CrossRef

  9. 9
    Suzanne M. Prober, D. W. Hilbert, S. Ferrier, M. Dunlop, D. Gobbett, Combining community-level spatial modelling and expert knowledge to inform climate adaptation in temperate grassy eucalypt woodlands and related grasslands, Biodiversity and Conservation, 2012, 21, 7, 1627

    CrossRef

  10. 10
    Michael Kuhlmann, Danni Guo, Ruan Veldtman, John Donaldson, Consequences of warming up a hotspot: species range shifts within a centre of bee diversity, Diversity and Distributions, 2012, 18, 9
    Direct Link:
  11. 11
    A. G. West, T. E. Dawson, E. C. February, G. F. Midgley, W. J. Bond, T. L. Aston, Diverse functional responses to drought in a Mediterranean-type shrubland in South Africa, New Phytologist, 2012, 195, 2
    Direct Link:
  12. 12
    R. J. Standish, J. B. Fontaine, R. J. Harris, W. D. Stock, R. J. Hobbs, Interactive effects of altered rainfall and simulated nitrogen deposition on seedling establishment in a global biodiversity hotspot, Oikos, 2012, 121, 12
    Direct Link:
  13. You have free access to this content13
    Gunnar Keppel, Kimberly P. Van Niel, Grant W. Wardell-Johnson, Colin J. Yates, Margaret Byrne, Ladislav Mucina, Antonius G. T. Schut, Stephen D. Hopper, Steven E. Franklin, Refugia: identifying and understanding safe havens for biodiversity under climate change, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2012, 21, 4
    Direct Link:
  14. 14
    Neil Gibson, Colin Yates, Margaret Byrne, Margaret Langley, Rujiporn Thavornkanlapachai, The importance of recruitment patterns versus reproductive output in the persistence of a short-range endemic shrub in a highly fragmented landscape of south-western Australia, Australian Journal of Botany, 2012, 60, 7, 643

    CrossRef

  15. 15
    Ana Filipa Filipe, Justin E. Lawrence, Núria Bonada, Vulnerability of stream biota to climate change in mediterranean climate regions: a synthesis of ecological responses and conservation challenges, Hydrobiologia, 2012,

    CrossRef

  16. 16
    P.J. Mustart, A.G. Rebelo, J. Juritz, R.M. Cowling, Wide variation in post-emergence desiccation tolerance of seedlings of fynbos proteoid shrubs, South African Journal of Botany, 2012, 80, 110

    CrossRef

  17. 17
    A. L. Angert, S. N. Sheth, J. R. Paul, Incorporating Population-Level Variation in Thermal Performance into Predictions of Geographic Range Shifts, Integrative and Comparative Biology, 2011, 51, 5, 733

    CrossRef

  18. 18
    S. Don Bradshaw, Kingsley W. Dixon, Stephen D. Hopper, Hans Lambers, Shane R. Turner, Little evidence for fire-adapted plant traits in Mediterranean climate regions, Trends in Plant Science, 2011, 16, 2, 69

    CrossRef

  19. 19
    Anton Pauw, William J. Bond, Mutualisms matter: pollination rate limits the distribution of oil-secreting orchids, Oikos, 2011, 120, 10
    Direct Link:
  20. 20
    Bronwyn M. Gillanders, Travis S. Elsdon, Ian A. Halliday, Gregory P. Jenkins, Julie B. Robins, Fiona J. Valesini, Potential effects of climate change on Australian estuaries and fish utilising estuaries: a review, Marine and Freshwater Research, 2011, 62, 9, 1115

    CrossRef

  21. 21
    Colin J. Yates, Asha McNeill, Jane Elith, Guy F. Midgley, Assessing the impacts of climate change and land transformation on Banksia in the South West Australian Floristic Region, Diversity and Distributions, 2010, 16, 1
    Direct Link:
  22. 22
    IAN ABBOTT, DAVID LE MAITRE, Monitoring the impact of climate change on biodiversity: The challenge of megadiverse Mediterranean climate ecosystems, Austral Ecology, 2010, 35, 4
    Direct Link:
  23. 23
    RICHARD MCKELLAR, GUY F. MIDGLEY, COLIN J. YATES, IAN ABBOTT, PAUL GIOIA, DAVID LE MAITRE, The need to develop a coherent research approach for climate change vulnerability impact assessment and adaptation in high-biodiversity terrestrial ecosystems, Austral Ecology, 2010, 35, 4
    Direct Link:
  24. 24
    Lesley Gibson, Asha McNeill, Paul de Tores, Adrian Wayne, Colin Yates, Will future climate change threaten a range restricted endemic species, the quokka (Setonix brachyurus), in south west Australia?, Biological Conservation, 2010, 143, 11, 2453

    CrossRef

View Full Article (HTML) Get PDF (171K)