We thank two anonymous referees for their helpful comments, our discussant Glenn Follette at the AEA meetings and participants at the conferences “Post-Crisis Fiscal Consolidation Strategies for Europe” (University of Freiburg, 2011) and “Stabilization Policies” (University of Copenhagen, 2011), the 13th Banca d’Italia Public Finance Workshop (Perugia, 2011), and at seminars at the Universities of Aarhus and Oslo. We also thank Geert Langenus and Walpurga Koehler-Toeglhofer for their help in explaining large one-off data reclassifications for Belgium and Austria. The usual disclaimer applies.
FROM BUDGETARY FORECASTS TO EX POST FISCAL DATA: EXPLORING THE EVOLUTION OF FISCAL FORECAST ERRORS IN THE EUROPEAN UNION
Article first published online: 20 SEP 2012
© 2012 Western Economic Association International
Contemporary Economic Policy
Volume 31, Issue 4, pages 795–813, October 2013
How to Cite
BEETSMA, R., BLUHM, B., GIULIODORI, M. and WIERTS, P. (2013), FROM BUDGETARY FORECASTS TO EX POST FISCAL DATA: EXPLORING THE EVOLUTION OF FISCAL FORECAST ERRORS IN THE EUROPEAN UNION. Contemporary Economic Policy, 31: 795–813. doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.2012.00337.x
- Issue published online: 23 AUG 2013
- Article first published online: 20 SEP 2012
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article:
Decompositions and Their Derivation.
Decomposition of Errors in the Budget and Its Components Excluding Greece.
Decomposition of Errors in the Budget and Its Components with GLS.
Effects of Political and Institutional Variables on GDP Growth Errors.
Nowcast Minus Projection for Real Output Growth.
Nowcast Minus Projection for Real Output Growth—More Parsimony.
Ex Post Minus Nowcast for Real Output Growth.
Ex Post Minus Nowcast for Real Output Growth—More Parsimony.
|COEP_337_sm_Appendices.pdf||331K||Supporting info item|
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