I thank Shan Zhou for excellent research assistance, Paul Montella of the Associated Press for providing me with the 2006 ballots and helpful discussion, Andrew Nutting for sharing data and discussion, and Edi Karni, Matt Shum, Joe Aldy, Tumenjargal Enkhbayar, Liz Schroeder, Carol Horton Tremblay, Stephen Shore, Peyton Young, Basit Zafar, and seminar participants at the Econometric Society 2009 North American Summer Meeting and 2009 IAREP/SABE joint meeting for helpful comments. Two referees and the coeditor (especially) also provided very helpful feedback. I thank Andrew Nutting for providing the data set used for this analysis. The data sets used for the article's main analysis do not include ranks on teams for each week throughout the seasons, only the first half of each season and final ranks. I do not find evidence of precision increasing substantially in just the first half of seasons. I thank an anonymous referee for suggesting this. The Sagarin rankings are a component of the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) rankings along with other computer rankings. I cannot use the BCS rankings because they are not computed after the bowls. I use the Sagarin ratings because they were easily obtainable and I expect other computer rankings would yield similar results.
TESTING BAYESIAN UPDATING WITH THE ASSOCIATED PRESS TOP 25
Article first published online: 25 JAN 2012
© 2012 Western Economic Association International
Volume 51, Issue 2, pages 1457–1474, April 2013
How to Cite
STONE, D. F. (2013), TESTING BAYESIAN UPDATING WITH THE ASSOCIATED PRESS TOP 25. Economic Inquiry, 51: 1457–1474. doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2011.00431.x
- Issue published online: 26 FEB 2013
- Article first published online: 25 JAN 2012
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