This paper is based on the SJS Lecture given at the NORDSTAT Meeting in Voss Norway, June 2010.
On Future Directions in Statistical Methodologies – Some Speculations
Version of Record online: 10 MAY 2011
© 2011 Board of the Foundation of the Scandinavian Journal of Statistics
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics
Volume 38, Issue 2, pages 185–194, June 2011
How to Cite
ARJAS, E. (2011), On Future Directions in Statistical Methodologies – Some Speculations. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 38: 185–194. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2011.00737.x
- Issue online: 10 MAY 2011
- Version of Record online: 10 MAY 2011
- Received October 2010, in final form February 2011
- Bayesian inference;
- frequentist inference;
- interpretation of probability;
- statistical paradigms
Abstract. We, as statisticians, are living in interesting times. New scientifically significant questions are waiting for our contributions, new data accumulate at a fast rate, and the rapid increase of computing power gives us unprecedented opportunities to meet these challenges. Yet, many members of our community are still turning the old wheel as if nothing dramatic had happened. There are ideas, methods and techniques which are commonly used but outdated and should be replaced by new ones. Can we expect to see, as has been suggested, a consolidation of statistical methodologies towards a new synthesis, or is perhaps an even wider separation and greater divergence the more likely scenario? In this talk these issues are discussed, and some conjectures and suggestions are made.