Which News Moves the Euro Area Bond Market?

Authors


Address for correspondence: Magnus Andersson, European Central Bank, Postfach 160319, 60066 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Tel.: +49 69 1344 7410; fax: +49 69 1344 6514; e-mail: magnus.andersson@ecb.int

Abstract

Abstract. This paper explores a long dataset (1999–2005) of intraday prices on German long-term bond futures and examines market responses to major macroeconomic announcements and ECB monetary policy releases. German bond markets tend to react more strongly to the surprise component in US macro releases compared with aggregated and national euro area and UK releases, and the strength of those reactions to US releases has increased over the period considered. We also document that the numbers of German unemployed workers consistently have been known to investors before official releases.

Ancillary