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Presidential Address. “Racial Intergroup Relations in a Set of Cities: A Twenty-Year Perspective”


Paula McClain is professor of political science at Duke University, Durham, NC 27708-0204.


In 1990, Albert Karnig and I published an article in the American Political Science Review, “Black and Latino Socioeconomic and Political Competition,” which examined the extent of socioeconomic and political competition between blacks and Latinos in a set of U.S. cities using 1980s data. We made a number of predictions about the future of racial politics in cities based on our results. This article revisits the cities in the 1990 article to see what changes, if any, may have occurred over the course of 20 years. The results from the original 1980 cities viewed in 1990 and 2000 presents a very mixed picture. The accuracy of our predictions varied over the years.