We wish to express our thanks to an anonymous referee and to the executive editor, William T. Moore, for many helpful suggestions.
ANALYZING STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY USING EXTREME-DAY MEASURES
Article first published online: 19 OCT 2004
Journal of Financial Research
Volume 27, Issue 4, pages 585–601, December 2004
How to Cite
Jones, C. P., Walker, M. D. and Wilson, J. W. (2004), ANALYZING STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY USING EXTREME-DAY MEASURES. Journal of Financial Research, 27: 585–601. doi: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2004.00109.x
- Issue published online: 19 OCT 2004
- Article first published online: 19 OCT 2004
We develop a simple measure of volatility based on extreme-day returns and apply it to market returns from 1885 to 2002. Because returns are not normally distributed, the extreme-day measure, which is distribution free, might provide a better measure of stock market risk than the traditional standard deviation. The extreme-day measure more accurately explains investor behavior relative to standard deviation as shown by equity fund flows, and we find evidence that large negative changes appear to influence investor behavior more than large positive changes.