Malin Falkenmark is a Professor, Stockholm International Water Institute and Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm. E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Global change in four semi-arid transnational river basins: Analysis of institutional water sharing preparedness
Version of Record online: 11 DEC 2009
© 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 United Nations
Natural Resources Forum
Special Issue: Special issue on climate change and sustainable development
Volume 33, Issue 4, pages 310–319, November 2009
How to Cite
Falkenmark, M., Fraiture, C. d. and Vick, M. J. (2009), Global change in four semi-arid transnational river basins: Analysis of institutional water sharing preparedness. Natural Resources Forum, 33: 310–319. doi: 10.1111/j.1477-8947.2009.01254.x
Charlotte de Fraiture is Principal Researcher, International Water Management Institute, Ghana, West Africa.
Margaret J. Vick is an Associate in the Institute for Sustainable Development, Pacific/McGeorge School of Law, Sacramento, California.
- Issue online: 11 DEC 2009
- Version of Record online: 11 DEC 2009
- Semi-arid transnational river basins;
- Water security;
- Climate change;
- Water sharing agreement
Climate change has exacerbated concerns about water security. The authors stress the need for countries in basins where populations are growing to anticipate the water shortage implications for food production. The paper analyses the future status of the interdependence among riparian states in four semi-arid transnational basins under the climate change SRES A2 scenario and projected population growth with a focus on the potential for rainfed agriculture on current croplands and the requirements for irrigation water. Increasing water interdependence among basin states requires institutional preparedness and water sharing arrangements. We conclude that the inclusion of long-term trends in the design of water sharing agreements will improve their robustness to cope with change and mitigate the potential risk of conflict.