Supported by grants from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (#R21AA10989–01), National Institute on Drug Abuse (#DA/AA 03995 and #R01DA09679), and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (#031925).
Early Adult Outcomes of Adolescent Binge Drinking: Person- and Variable-Centered Analyses of Binge Drinking Trajectories
Article first published online: 11 APR 2006
Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research
Volume 24, Issue 6, pages 892–901, June 2000
How to Cite
Hill, K. G., White, H. R., Chung, I.-J., Hawkins, J. D. and Catalano, R. F. (2000), Early Adult Outcomes of Adolescent Binge Drinking: Person- and Variable-Centered Analyses of Binge Drinking Trajectories. Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research, 24: 892–901. doi: 10.1111/j.1530-0277.2000.tb02071.x
An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Annual Meeting of the Research Society on Alcoholism, June 26–July 1, 1999, Santa Barbara, CA.
- Issue published online: 11 APR 2006
- Article first published online: 11 APR 2006
- Received for publication November 5, 1999; accepted March 6, 2000.
- Binge Drinking;
- Adult Outcomes
Background: Many studies of the consequences of binge drinking take a variable-centered approach that may mask developmentally different trajectories. Recent studies have reported qualitatively different binge drinking trajectories in young adulthood. However, analyses of developmental trajectories of binge drinking have not been examined for an important period of drinking development: adolescence. The purpose of this study was to examine young adult outcomes of adolescent binge drinking using an approach that combines person-centered and variable-centered methods.
Methods: Data were from the Seattle Social Development Project, an ethnically diverse, gender balanced sample (n= 808) followed prospectively from age 10 to age 21. Semiparametric group-based modeling was used to determine groups of binge drinking trajectories in adolescence. Logistic regression was used to examine how well the trajectory groups predicted young adult outcomes after demographics, childhood measures, and adolescent drug use were considered.
Results: Four distinct trajectories of binge drinking during adolescence were identified: Early Highs, Increasers, Late Onsetters, and Nonbingers. These trajectories significantly predicted positive and negative outcomes in adulthood after controlling for demographic characteristics, early proxy measures of the outcome, and adolescent drug use.
Conclusions: This integrated person- and variable-centered approach provides more information about the effects of specific patterns of binge drinking than studies that employ variable-centered methods alone.