The views expressed in this paper are soley those of the author. Much of this work was completed while the author was a research economist at the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). I thank Marcelle Chauvet, Doug Elmendorf, Charles Fleischman, Bruce Grimm, David Lebow, Jeremy Piger, Jeremy Rudd, Dan Sichel, John Stevens, David Wilcox, Jonathan Wright, and seminar participants at BEA and the Board of Governors for comments.
Estimating Probabilities of Recession in Real Time Using GDP and GDI
Article first published online: 27 JAN 2012
© 2012 The Ohio State University
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Volume 44, Issue 1, pages 235–253, February 2012
How to Cite
NALEWAIK, J. J. (2012), Estimating Probabilities of Recession in Real Time Using GDP and GDI. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 44: 235–253. doi: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00475.x
- Issue published online: 27 JAN 2012
- Article first published online: 27 JAN 2012
- Received January 4, 2008; and accepted in revised form December 6, 2011.
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