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Table 6: A list of democratic transitions that occurred within five years of an irregular turnover.

Table 7: Democratization models using alternative windows of time for past irregular turnovers.

Table 8: Robustness checks for irregular turnover in dictatorships.

Table 9: Robustness checks for irregular turnover in democracies.

Table 10: Irregular turnover models with quadratic GDP/capita (ln) term.

Figure 5: Residuals from irregular turnover models.

Table 11: Transition models restricted to 1950–2004.

Table 12: Transition models restricted to 1950–2004, with additional controls for resource dependence.

Table 13: Democratization models with longer lags of GDP/capita (ln).

Table 14: Conditional logits of democratization with longer lags of GDP/capita (ln).

Table 15: Democratization models disaggregating different types of irregular turnover in GDP/capita (ln) interaction term.

Table 16: Democratization models disaggregating different types of irregular turnover in direct effect.

Table 17: Predictions of regular turnover.

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