The authors thank Amanda Bryan for her helpful assistance. Replication data are housed at http://ryancblack.org.
Looking Back to Move Forward: Quantifying Policy Predictions in Political Decision Making
Version of Record online: 17 JUL 2012
©2012, Midwest Political Science Association
American Journal of Political Science
Volume 56, Issue 4, pages 802–816, October 2012
How to Cite
Black, R. C. and Owens, R. J. (2012), Looking Back to Move Forward: Quantifying Policy Predictions in Political Decision Making. American Journal of Political Science, 56: 802–816. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00606.x
- Issue online: 4 OCT 2012
- Version of Record online: 17 JUL 2012
• Petition Sampling Procedure
• Petitions Sampled by Issue Area
• Measuring the Legal Status Quo
• Measuring the Location of Previous Supreme Court Decisions
• Expanded Discussion of the SOP Spatial Model
• Determining the Congressional Pivots
• Intercoder Reliability of Conflict Variables
• Control Variables
Figure A1: Dot plot of cases sampled by issue area.
Figure A2: Location of Supreme Court justices’ ideal points on the 1989 (top panel) and 1992 (bottom panel) terms.
Figure A3: SOP spatial model.
Figure A4: Congressional overrides.
Table A1: Logistic regression model parameter estimates of whether a justice votes to CVSG.
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