Ratings, Commercial Paper, and Equity Returns

Authors

  • NANDKUMAR NAYAR,

  • MICHAEL S. ROZEFF

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    • Nayar is from the Finance Division, University of Oklahoma, and Rozeff is from the School of Management, the State University of New York at Buffalo. We thank Uday Chandra, Gary Emery, Scott Linn, Ajai Singh, René Stulz, and especially Louis Ederington and an anonymous referee, for valuable comments. Nayar is grateful to the Center for Financial Studies at the University of Oklahoma for financial support. Jainbo Li, Ted Martin, Zdraska Nikolovska, and Mary Smith provided excellent research assistance.


ABSTRACT

We present the first evidence that initial ratings of commercial paper influence common stock returns. Highly-rated industrial issues of commercial paper, unaccompanied by bank letters of credit, are associated with significantly positive abnormal returns; lower-rated issues are not. The stock price effects of changes in commercial paper ratings also demonstrate the relevance of ratings to the financing of firms. Rating downgrades, especially those that imply an exit from the commercial paper market, produce significantly negative abnormal returns; upgrades have no effects. Initial commercial paper ratings and subsequent reratings appear to help investors sort firms by their future prospects.

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