Candidate Strategies in the Presidential Nomination Campaign

Authors


  • AUTHORS' NOTE: We thank Mike Franz, Arthur Sanders and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on this manuscript.

Travis N. Ridout is an associate professor of political science at Washington State University and researches political campaigns, political advertising, and presidential nominations. He is coauthor of Campaign Advertising and American Democracy.
Jenny L. Holland is a doctoral student in political science at Washington State University. Her research interests include political campaigns, electoral preferences and behavior, and public administration.

Abstract

This article examines the situations under which candidates in multicandidate races go on the attack (both intraparty and interparty), paying special attention to the timing of the attacks, whether the attacker or the attacked is a front-runner or trailing, and candidate ideology. Using ad tracking data from the 2004 and 2008 U.S. presidential nomination campaigns and detailed polling data from each state, the authors find that timing is an important consideration in launching an attack and that candidate ideology determines who gets attacked. While candidate standing and candidate resources have little influence on intraparty attack behavior, both are important predictors of attacks across party lines.

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