We would like to thank Frank Cullen, Lawrence Travis, and the anonymous reviewers for their comments on earlier drafts of this article.
CAUSALITY, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, AND BURGLARY*
Article first published online: 7 MAR 2006
Volume 36, Issue 2, pages 425–440, May 1998
How to Cite
CHAMLIN, M. B. and COCHRAN, J. K. (1998), CAUSALITY, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, AND BURGLARY. Criminology, 36: 425–440. doi: 10.1111/j.1745-9125.1998.tb01254.x
- Issue published online: 7 MAR 2006
- Article first published online: 7 MAR 2006
This study examines the extent to which the symmetry-asymmetry distinction and offense aggregation bias obfuscate the relationship between economic conditions and crime. Specifically, we use ARIMA techniques to assess the impact of incremental and abrupt changes in oil prices on counts of total, commercial, and residential burglaries in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Taken together, the bivariate and interrupted time series analyses indicate that the causal impact of oil prices on burglary is asymmetrical and varies across the two subcategories of breaking and entering.