SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

Keywords:

  • decision analysis;
  • marine mammals;
  • monitoring;
  • trends;
  • trends in abundance;
  • statistical power

Abstract

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

We assessed scientists' ability to detect declines of marine mammal stocks based on recent levels of survey effort, when the actual decline is precipitous. We defined a precipitous decline as a 50% decrease in abundance in 15 yr, at which point a stock could be legally classified as “depleted” under the U.S. Marine Mammal Protection Act. We assessed stocks for three categories of cetaceans: large whales (n= 23, most of which are listed as endangered), beaked whales (n= 11, potentially vulnerable to anthropogenic noise), and small whales/dolphins/porpoises (n= 69, bycatch in fisheries and important abundant predators), for two categories of pinnipeds with substantially different survey precision: counted on land (n= 13) and surveyed on ice (n= 5), and for a category containing polar bear and sea otter stocks (n= 6). The percentage of precipitous declines that would not be detected as declines was 72% for large whales, 90% for beaked whales, and 78% for dolphins/porpoises, 5% for pinnipeds on land, 100% for pinnipeds on ice, and 55% for polar bears/sea otters (based on a one-tailed t-test, α= 0.05), given the frequency and precision of recent monitoring effort. We recommend alternatives to improve performance.

In 1994 the U.S. Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) was amended to implement a new management approach designed to identify excessive human-caused mortality in U.S. waters (often referred to as the PBR scheme, for Potential Biological Removal) (Taylor et al. 2000). Scientists designing this approach recognized that trends in abundance would not be effective to identify at-risk stocks because the statistical power to resolve trends in abundance was very low with the data series that were available at that time. The new management approach was therefore based on estimates of direct, human-caused mortalities as well as information on stock abundance and structure. The implicit assumption behind the new management approach was that direct mortality, such as bycatch in fisheries, was the main threat to marine mammal populations.

However, several marine mammal stocks experienced severe declines that were not, so far as we know, a result of direct, human-caused kills. The noteworthy examples are the western stock of Steller sea lion (Loughlin et al. 1984, Merrick et al. 1992, Sease et al. 2001), several stocks of harbor seals in Alaska (Pitcher 1990, Ver Hoef and Frost 2003), the southwestern stock of sea otter in western Alaska (Doroff et al. 2003), and Hawaiian monk seals (Antonelis et al. 2006). Because the PBR system was not designed to identify stocks declining due to factors other than direct kill, we wondered whether this new approach, involving new and more-or-less regular population surveys instituted since 1994, has improved scientists' ability to detect trends in marine mammal stocks, particularly those resulting from causes such as depletion of prey base, ecosystem changes, predation, habitat degradation, or disease. Of course, it is also important to identify trends in cases where there is direct but unobserved mortality, as could be the case for fisheries without observers.

Our analysis addresses two questions: How likely are we to detect precipitous declines in abundance of marine mammals under U.S. management and does the answer to this question differ among different categories of marine mammals? We base our analyses on recent levels of survey effort and on the precision of abundance estimates from those surveys. We chose to define “precipitous decline” as a decline of 50% over a 15-yr monitoring period because such a decline would result in a stock being classified as “depleted” under the MMPA and either “vulnerable” or “endangered” under the IUCN Red List Guidelines, depending on whether the cause of the decline was known and reversible. If declines of less than 50% in 15 yr were occurring, our ability to detect those declines would be less than what is reported here.

This analysis was designed to demonstrate the consequences of employing standard practices of detecting declines in abundance and to represent a sufficiently representative group of stocks. We use the standard criteria for significance (α= 0.05). Many scientists and managers remain unaware that this value is not an objective scientific value but rather a policy choice (Taylor and Gerrodette 1993). In a simplified way, using this criterion means that we expect to falsely conclude that a precipitous decline is occurring 5% of the time, which we call an overprotection error. Consider a case where our statistical power to detect such a decline is only 10%, that is, 90% of the time we would falsely conclude that there was no precipitous decline (an underprotection error). In this case, using the standard significance criterion (α= 0.05) represents an implicit policy choice that we are eighteen times more willing to make an under- than an overprotection error (90/5).

The practice of examining trends in abundance using hypothesis testing has been questioned (Johnson 1999). Trends in abundance can be estimated directly and used in formal decision analysis (Taylor et al. 1996). However, both approaches (hypothesis testing and parameter estimation) require policy decisions to interpret what level of decline warrants management action and what degree of evidence is required that such a decline is occurring. Because there has been no policy decision made on what balance is desired between underprotection and overprotection errors, we chose to demonstrate the consequences of the current default for deciding significance (α= 0.05). We later discuss alternatives to this approach.

Methods

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

Our approach required two steps: extraction of data from both primary literature and the MMPA Stock Assessment Reports (SARs), and calculation of statistical power based on the extracted data. Two kinds of information were needed for the power calculation: precision of abundance estimates and survey interval. Data on precision of abundance estimates were extracted from three SARs (Angliss and Lodge 2003, Waring et al. 2003, Carretta et al. 2004), the primary literature, and in some cases from SAR authors (Appendix, Sources column). Many narratives for individual stocks gave sparse information on survey intervals. In cases of uncertainty in survey interval, we assumed more frequent surveys; thus, our results are likely optimistic. Some stocks covered in the SARs had insufficient information to use in this exercise. Those not included here with rationale for exclusion include Eastern North Pacific Transient Stock of killer whales—proportion identified not known and frequency of effort across range variable and not recorded; Eastern North Pacific Offshore Stock of killer whales—proportion of mixed abundance estimate with previously mentioned stock unknown, West Indian manatees—coefficient of variation (CV) unknown and effort across range unknown, all Hawaiian stocks—survey interval unknown as first survey was completed in 2002 (Barlow 2006), various stocks found primarily in non-U.S. waters and for which the SAR CV was likely to be unrepresentative—gray seals, hooded seals, harp seals, and Guadalupe fur seals. Data used in this analysis are presented in the Appendix. To make our study as representative as possible, we included estimates that are in reports and that only appear in the SARs and remain unpublished. We have indicated the level of review in the table and strongly discourage citing this paper as a source for these unpublished data.

For cetaceans, precision of estimation was summarized as the CV reported in the SARs for abundance estimates. For pinnipeds that haul out on land, abundance estimates were usually not given; rather, these populations are monitored by direct counts of adults or pups. The counts are typically reported each year as a single number, with no estimate of variance or error in extrapolation to the total population size. To estimate precision for pinniped monitoring, we computed CVs from the unexplained variance about a linear regression line on log counts. Although we feel this simple regression estimate for CVs is sufficient for our purposes in detecting precipitous declines, we caution readers that precision is likely overestimated because of unaccounted-for factors such as heterogeneity in portion of the population counted or heterogeneity in count timing (see Barker and Sauer 1992 for a more sophisticated method using time-series data).

For sea otter stocks in Alaska, CVs and abundances were given for parts of the range within a stock. We calculated overall CVs by dividing the square root of the sum of the variances by the total abundance.

In this analysis we define statistical power as the rate of correctly detecting that a population is declining when in fact it is declining precipitously, using a simple regression analysis. We used the typical significance criterion (α= 0.05). We used this typical criterion because this value is perceived as a scientifically accepted standard and therefore accepted without argument in management decisions. We also show examples of power calculations using alternate values for significance criteria for beaked and bowhead whales. Power calculations were completed via the TRENDS program available at http://swfsc.noaa.gov/prd.aspx (Gerrodette 1987, 1991). Constant features were set as follows: duration of study was 15 yr, rate of decline per year was 5% (which results in the defined precipitous decline), one-tailed test, CV proportional to 1/sqrt (abundance), and intervals between sampling occasions were set to be equal, based on survey frequencies (for cases with survey intervals of more than 1 yr, sampling occurs less than once at each time step).

To evaluate our ability to detect declines, we pooled results into several categories with different management mandates or concerns: large whales, beaked whales, other small cetaceans, land-hauling pinnipeds, ice-hauling pinnipeds, and sea otters/polar bears. Most species of large whales are listed as endangered under the Endangered Species Act, and therefore monitoring trends in abundance is particularly important not only to be alert to declines but also to be able to detect recovery for potential reclassification of listed species. Large whales are typically easy to detect because they are large and have conspicuous blows that can be seen for many miles. We also include minke whales in this category with the other baleen whales, but they are neither large nor conspicuous. In contrast, beaked whales are inconspicuous and spend the vast majority of their time diving to great depths. However, beaked whales are of high conservation interest because of recent strandings associated with use of military sonar and seismic surveys (Anonymous 2001, Jepson et al. 2003). Because the magnitude of this problem remains unknown, it would be helpful if current surveys could detect declines in beaked whale abundance. The next category we investigated is all other cetaceans, including small whales with no conspicuous blow (like pilot whales), killer whales, dolphins, and porpoises. These species are numerically the most abundant cetaceans in most marine habitats and are likely important predators in the context of ecosystem management. Pinnipeds are of particular interest for two reasons: the most precise abundance estimates are for land-hauling pinnipeds, which could serve as indicator species, and ice-hauling species are of conservation interest because their habitat is changing rapidly (Tynan and DeMaster 1997, Ferguson et al. 2005). Polar bears, which face similar risks but breed on land, are treated separately with sea otters because they do not fit well into any of the above.

We first estimated the statistical power for detecting the precipitous decline, which is the probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis that the stock is increasing or remaining constant in size. The distribution of estimates of power sheds light on whether certain groups of stocks have consistently high precision while others have consistently low precision. To estimate the percent of stocks for which we expect to detect precipitous declines, we summed the calculations for power within a category (i.e., we assumed power approximated probability of detection). This sum is the expected (average) number of stocks that would be detected as declining. Given five stocks declining at the precipitous rate described above, four with a power of 0.25 and one with a power of 0.20 to detect a decline, most often a significant decline would be detected for one of them and there would be a smaller chance of detecting the decline of a second stock (4 × 0.25 + 0.20 = 1.20). The percent detected would be the ratio (1.20/5)100 = 24, and hence, the percent not detected would be 76.

Our analysis is optimistic in three technical aspects: (1) in cases of uncertainty about survey interval we used optimistic values (all large-ship surveys were assumed to occur at 4-yr intervals), (2) stocks excluded from the analysis because of insufficient information in the SARs are likely to have lower power than those with reported precision and survey interval, and (3) the test is only for detecting that a population is declining and not the magnitude of the decline. There are other reasons that our analyses are likely optimistic. Funding for surveys has remained level over many years. Because cruise costs increase, actual cruise effort has to decrease with time given level funding. Furthermore, surveys have never been conducted for some stocks due to insufficient funding.

Results

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

There is considerable variability in the distribution of estimates of power among stocks within a category (Fig. 1), but power is consistently low for all beaked whales and pinnipeds that haul out on ice. The stocks with the highest statistical power were exceptional in one of the following ways: (1) counts could be made from land or using aerial photography when pinnipeds were hauled out on land, (2) photographic identification was used on small, easily accessed populations (humpback whales off California, North Atlantic right whales, southern resident killer whales), or (3) counts could be done from land and were done annually (some sea otter stocks). Although precision levels differed somewhat among the categories (see Appendix), the likelihood of not detecting a precipitous decline is quite high (Fig. 2) for all categories except pinnipeds that haul out on land.

image

Figure 1. Percent of stocks within four ranges of statistical power. Statistical power is the probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis that a population is not declining (i.e., one-tailed t-test, α= 0.05) when the stock is experiencing a precipitous decline (50% over 15 yr). Results are summarized for six categories of marine mammals: large whales, beaked whales, dolphins and porpoises, pinnipeds on ice, pinnipeds on land, and polar bears and sea otters.

Download figure to PowerPoint

image

Figure 2. Percent of stocks for which a precipitous decline would not be detected as a decline for different categories of cetaceans, pinnipeds, and the category of polar bears and sea otters. Numbers in parentheses indicate the number of stocks examined.

Download figure to PowerPoint

Discussion

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

Given current monitoring levels, our ability to detect precipitous declines in abundance remains low for most stocks of marine mammals in U.S. waters using standard analyses (hypothesis testing using α= 0.05). Thus, we would be unlikely to detect a decline in abundance for cetacean or ice seal stocks similar to the decline in abundance that was associated with the listing of the western stock of Steller sea lion as endangered under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. In fact, of the stocks receiving attention because of observed declines (the western stock of Steller sea lion, several stocks of harbor seals in Alaska, the southwestern stock of sea otter in western Alaska, and Hawaiian monk seals), only the sea otters had relatively low power of detection (Appendix). The detection of sea otter declines occurred because the magnitude of the decline is greater than the 50% decline for which we estimated power. The low precision for most marine mammals, including most large whales, also means that detecting recovery of endangered species for consideration in delisting decisions is similarly problematic.

Although this paper deals with stocks in U.S. waters, many of the factors that lead to low precision in marine mammal abundance estimates are likely to be global problems. For example, beaked whales are always difficult to see when they are on the surface, spend most of their time below the surface, and are found at low densities over large areas (Barlow et al. 2006). For cetaceans with highly pelagic distributions, detecting declines is likely more problematic than depicted here as many of the world's oceans, particularly the Indian Ocean and the South Atlantic, have very little survey effort.

For many species, increased monitoring effort is necessary to detect declines of serious conservation concern. For example, 23 of the 127 stocks examined have no information for either CV or survey interval, usually meaning that there is no acceptable abundance estimate. Thus, there is no analytical fix for 18% of all marine mammal stocks, and more resources must be devoted to monitoring if we can hope to effectively manage these stocks. This severe lack of information is not equal among our categories; there was no abundance or trend information for any stocks found on ice (pinnipeds or polar bear), for 36% of beaked whale stocks, and for a surprising 26% of large whale stocks. The level of risk is also not equal among categories: Ice-dependent species are at greater risk due to the likely effects of global climate change, and beaked whales are at greater risk due to human-caused acoustic-related mortality as seen in mass stranding associated with naval exercises (Cox et al. 2006). Beaked whales and ice-dependent species face both high potential risks and low levels of available information.

The most common methods to increase our ability to detect precipitous declines are to increase survey frequency and/or change decision criteria. Consider a case of high precision, the western arctic stock of bowhead whales (CV = 0.13), and a case of low precision, the Cuvier's beaked whale stock in the western North Atlantic (CV = 0.34). If we wanted to detect a precipitous decline 80% of the time, we could do annual surveys for bowhead whales (Fig. 3). To save expense, surveys could be less frequent, but the decision criterion for significance would have to be changed to α= 0.1 for 4-yr intervals or α= 0.2 for 6-yr intervals. In the latter case, underprotection and overprotection errors are equal at about 20%. For the western North Atlantic stock of Cuvier's beaked whale (which has the highest precision of any beaked whale), the only option to attain an 80% probability of detection is to have annual surveys and use a significance criterion of α= 0.3. In this case the over- to underprotection ratio is 1.5 (0.3/0.2).

image

Figure 3. Statistical power to detect a precipitous decline with different significance criteria (α) for a high precision species (bowhead whales—CV = 0.13 shown with clear symbols and connected by solid lines) and a low precision species (Cuvier's beaked whale—CV = 0.34 shown with solid symbols and dashed lines). Three different survey intervals are shown: 1 yr (squares), 4 yr (circles), and 6 yr (triangles). The horizontal dashed line represents a hypothetical goal of being able to detect 80% of such precipitous declines. Values above that line represent combinations of survey intervals and decision criteria (α) that meet this goal.

Download figure to PowerPoint

Alternatively, Bayesian methods could be used to directly estimate the growth rate together with uncertainty as was done for a population of harbor seals in Alaska (Ver Hoef and Frost 2003). Using this different methodology does not obviate the need to choose the magnitude of decline and the level of evidence needed to trigger a management action. Bayesian methods allow different kinds of information, including prior knowledge, to be included in the analysis of trends (Goodman 2004, Thompson et al. 2005), and they have the advantage of producing probability distributions that can be used directly in formal decision analysis (Wade 2000). Furthermore, in a Bayesian analysis, the costs of different kinds of errors can be included directly in explicit loss functions. This method was used for endangered species listing criteria for spectacled eiders (Taylor et al. 1996).

There are many ways by which temporal data can be analyzed for trends (Thomas et al. 2004). The detection of trends is improved by the use of models, which include covariates that effectively remove some of the “noise” that may otherwise obscure trends (Forney et al. 1991, Fewster et al. 2000, Ver Hoef and Frost 2003). Careful attention to design of monitoring programs—which kinds of data to collect, where and how often to collect them—can increase detection of trends (Urquhart and Kincaid 1999).

Another method to increase power to detect trends is to design a survey specifically to detect trends in abundance (as opposed to a survey to estimate absolute abundance). A trend-site survey design would seek to maximize precision by reducing the area surveyed and increasing the effort in the chosen area. There are two ways by which reduction in survey area could be accomplished: surveying part of the range of the stock or identifying stocks at a smaller spatial scale than currently identified in the SARs. The first way requires the strong assumption that the proportion of the total population in the surveyed area is constant across time. Although movement data may help to assure that this assumption is met, this strategy is risky because changes in conditions resulting in distributional shifts may occur with a declining trend. The second way is to identify demographically independent populations and survey the smaller area that they occupy. Although the MMPA mandates management at the level of stocks, which have been interpreted to be demographically independent populations (Payne 2004, Taylor 2005), many of the stocks listed within the SARs are extremely large and likely encompass several demographically independent populations. For example, all the ice seal species are listed as single stocks that cover a very large area. None of the ice seals have abundance estimates for this large area but most have estimates for smaller areas. Identifying multiple stocks may make monitoring feasible. Coastal and offshore bottlenose dolphins off California are a successful example where the small coastal stock, clearly demographically independent using both photographic identification (Defran and Weller 1999) and genetic data (Lowther 2006), can be monitored separately. Aerial surveys achieved a statistical power of 0.67 with a survey interval of 4 yr by flying a narrow strip of coastal waters where these animals are found (Carretta et al. 1998). Should this stock be chosen as an indicator stock for coastal cetacean health, survey frequency could be increased to enhance power.

However, the effectiveness of redistributing the effort in this way assumes that the spatial distribution of population density is understood and remains constant within the chosen area. Trend site surveys have worked well for harbor seals in Alaska because genetics and telemetry have shown that seals are loyal to their birth sites even in the face of large declines in some areas (O'Corry-Crowe et al. 2003). However, for cetaceans the potential for movement, and our ignorance about linkages between distribution and habitats, complicates area choice. Despite the potential for cetaceans to move quickly over large distances, genetic, morphological, and tagging data indicate strong population structure for most species, including highly coastal species such as harbor porpoise (Chivers et al. 2002), migratory species such as humpback whales (Palsbøll et al. 1995, Palsbøll et al. 1997), and several populations of pelagic dolphins and porpoises (Escorza-Treviño and Dizon 2000, Escorza-Treviño et al. 2005).

Reduction in area is unlikely to increase precision for pelagic cetaceans because of the uncertainties in meeting the assumption that the same proportion of the stock is surveyed each time. Reducing the area surveyed to improve power would require much better knowledge of population structure and of the links between pelagic species distribution and characteristics of their habitat (Ferguson et al. 2006a, b). Many stocks shift their distributions seasonally and with different environmental conditions (Danil 2004). Data on habitat variables associated with their distribution can be used to improve our ability to detect trends (Forney 2000), but additional research is needed to broaden the range of stocks considered and to better characterize population structure. Unfortunately, all pelagic stocks are characterized by a statistical power of less than 0.25 in the current sample of surveys. Changing the decision criterion, as mentioned earlier, would be a more reliable solution to improve decline detection for these species than adopting partial range coverage.

Our last suggestion is to detect potential declines within an ecosystem context by selecting species as indicator species. Careful consideration of how to choose indicator species, and indeed what factors we desire to be indicated, must precede this strategy. Indicator species should be chosen in a hierarchical fashion: first, which species are known to be linked to ecosystem health or are known to have abundances correlated with a suite of other species, and second, of those species, which can we monitor with the highest precision.

Fundamentally, we cannot reliably detect even precipitous declines in most whale, dolphin, porpoise, and ice-hauling pinniped populations with present levels of investment in surveys and current survey technology and design. Improvement of performance in detecting declines depends on increasing survey extent and frequency, developing different methods to detect declines, or making explicit decisions on the magnitude of decline warranting farther action and the level of evidence needed that decline is occurring, or some combination of the above. The first two require a substantial increase in funding. Should such funding levels be unlikely, then the most efficient way to increase our ability to detect declines is to alter decision criteria.

Current trends in management are to move from single species management to an ecosystem approach to management. Our results suggest that uncertainty, even for single species management, remains high. Ecosystem models will have higher overall uncertainty driven by large uncertainties resulting both from imprecision and from ignorance about how different components of the ecosystem are linked. Thus, a good management decision rule should not require large numbers of precise estimates in order to trigger warranted management actions.

Footnotes
  • 1

    All non-zero values are statistical power. Zero values are inferred probability of detection of decline given that there is no monitoring of abundance for these stocks.

  • 2

    For recently peer-reviewed estimate see Calambokidis and Barlow 2004.

  • 3

    For a recently peer reviewed estimate see Barlow and Taylor, 2005.

  • 4

    D. Palka. Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, MA, USA July 2006

  • 5

    R. Hobbs. National Marine Mammal Laboratory, 7600 Sandpoint Way, N.E. Seattle, WA, USA

  • 6

    Available from R. Hobbs. National Marine Mammal Laboratory, 7600 Sandpoint Way, N.E. Seattle, WA, USA

Acknowledgments

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

This work was funded by the Southwest Fisheries Science Center and in part by an appointment to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Educational Partnership Program with Minority Serving Institutions Undergraduate Scholarship Program administered by the Oak Ridge Associated Universities through an interagency agreement between the U.S. Department of Energy and the U.S. Department of Commerce for Melissa Martinez. We gratefully thank those who helped obtaining the needed information to do the power calculations: Jim Carretta, Mark Lowry, Bob Small, Debbie Palka, Robyn Angliss, Ray Outlaw, and Gordon Waring. The manuscript greatly benefited from reviews by Douglas DeMaster, Christine Ribic, Grey Pendleton, Megan Ferguson, Meghan Donahue, Daniel Goodman, Tom Eagle, and Tim Ragen.

Literature Cited

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix
  • Agler, B. A., S. J. Kendall, P. E. Seiser and J. R. Lindell. 1999. Estimates of marine bird and sea otter abundance in southeast Alaska during summer 1994. Migratory Bird Management, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Anchorage , Alaska . 90 pp.
  • Angliss, R. P., and K. L. Lodge. 2003. Alaska marine mammal stock assessments, 2003. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-AFSC 144. 237 pp.
  • Anonymous. 2001. Joint Interim Report. Bahamas marine mammal stranding event of 15–16 March 2000, December 2001. D. L.Evans, Secretary of U.S. Department of Commerce and G. R. England, Secretary of the Navy, eds.
  • Antonelis, G. A., A. E. York and C. W. Fowler. 1994. Population assessment, Pribilof Islands, Alaska. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-AFSC 45.
  • Antonelis, G. A., J. D. Baker, T. C. Johanos, R. C. Braun and A. L. Harting. 2006. Hawaiian monk seal Monachus schauinslandi: Status and conservation issues. Atoll Research Bulletin 543:75101.
  • Barker, R. J., and J. R. Sauer. 1992. Modelling population change from time series data. Pages 182194 in D. R.McCullough and R. H.Barrett, eds. Wildlife 2001: Populations. Elsevier, New York , NY .
  • Barlow, J. 2003. Preliminary estimates of the abundance of cetaceans along the U.S. west coast: 1991–2001. Southwest Fisheries Science Center Administrative Report LJ-03-03. 31 pp.
  • Barlow, J. 2006. Cetacean abundance in Hawaiian waters estimated from a summer/fall survey in 2002. Marine Mammal Science 22(2):446464.
  • Barlow, J., and B. L. Taylor. 2005. Estimates of sperm whale abundance in the northeastern temperate Pacific from a combined acoustic and visual survey. Marine Mammal Science 21(3):429445.
  • Barlow, J., M. Ferguson, W. F. Perrin, L. Ballance, T. Gerrodette, G. Joyce, C. D. MacLeod, K. Mullin, D. L. Palka and G. Waring. 2006. Abundance and density of beaked and bottlenose whales (family Ziphiidae). Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 7(3):263270.
  • Blaylock, R. A., and W. Hoggard. 1994. Preliminary estimates of bottlenose dolphin abundance in southern U. S. Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico continental shelf waters. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-SWFSC-356, 10 pp.
  • Brown, R. F. 1997. Abundance of Pacific harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) in Oregon: 1977–1996. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Technical Report 97-6-04. 12 pp.
  • Buckland, S. T., K. L. Cattanach and R. C. Hobbs. 1993. Abundance estimates of Pacific white-sided dolphin, northern right whale dolphin, Dall's porpoise and northern fur seal in the North Pacific, 1987/90. Pages 387407 in W.Shaw, R. L.Burgner and J.Ito, eds. Biology, distribution and stock assessment of species caught in the high seas of driftnet fisheries in the North Pacific Ocean. International North Pacific Fisheries Commission Symposium, 4–6 November 1991.
  • Calambokidis, J., and J. Barlow. 2004. Abundance of blue and humpback whales in the eastern North Pacific estimated by capture-recapture and line-transect methods. Marine Mammal Science 20(1):6385.
  • Calambokidis, J., S. Osmek and J. L. Laake. 1997a. Aerial surveys for marine mammals in Washington and British Columbia inside waters. Final Contract Report for Contract 52ABNF-6-00092, available from Cascadia Research Collective, Waterstreet Building 218 1/2 West Fourth Avenue, Olympia , Washington 98501.
  • Calambokidis, J., G. H. Steiger, J. M. Straley, T. Quinn, L. M. Herman, S. Cerchio, D. R. Salden, M. Yamaguchi, F. Sato, J. R. Urbán, J. Jacobson, O. Von Ziegesar, K. C. Balcolm, C. M. Gabriele, M. E. Dahlheim, N. Higashi, S. Uchida, J. K. B. Ford, Y. Miyamura, P. Ladrón de Guevara, S. A. Mizroch, L. Schlender and K. Rasmussen. 1997b. Abundance and population structure of humpback whales in the North Pacific basin. Final Contract Report 50ABNF500113. 72 pp.
  • Calkins, D. G., D. C. McAllister, K. W. Pitcher and G. W. Pendleton. 1999. Steller sea lion status and trend in Southeast Alaska: 1979–1997. Marine Mammal Science 15(2):462477.
  • Carretta, J. V. 2003. Preliminary estimates of harbor porpoise abundance in California from 1997 and 1999 aerial surveys. Southwest Fisheries Science Center Administrative Report LJ-03-04. 12 pp.
  • Carretta, J. V., K. A. Forney and J. L. Laake. 1998. The abundance of southern California coastal bottlenose dolphins estimated from tandem aerial surveys. Marine Mammal Science 14:655675.
  • Carretta, J. V., M. S. Lowry, C. Stinchcomb, M. S. Lynn and R. E. Cosgrove. 2000. Distribution and abundance of marine mammals at San Clemente Island and surrounding offshore waters: Results from aerial and ground surveys in 1998 and 1999. Southwest Fisheries Science Center Administrative Report LJ-00-02.
  • Carretta, J. V., K. A. Forney, M. M. Muto, J. Barlow, J. Baker and M. S. Lowry. 2004. U. S. Pacific marine mammal stock assessments: 2003. NOAA Technical Memorandum 358. 291 pp.
  • Chivers, S. J., A. E. Dizon, P. J. Gearin and K. M. Robertson. 2002. Small-scale population structure of eastern North Pacific harbor porpoises, (Phocoena phocoena), indicated by molecular genetic analysis. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 4(2):111122.
  • Clapham, P. J., J. Barlow, T. Cole, D. Mattila, R. Pace, E. Palka, J. Robbins and R. Seton. 2002. Stock definition, abundance and demographic parameters of humpback whales from the Gulf of Maine. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 5:1322.
  • Cox, T. M., T. J. Ragen, A. J. Read, E. Vos, R. W. Baird, K. Balcomb, J. Barlow, J. Caldwell, T. Cranford, L. Crum, A. D'Amico, G. D'Spain, A. Fernandez, J. Finneran, R. Gentry, W. Gerth, F. Gulland, J. Hildebrand, D. Houser, T. Hullar, P. D. Jepson, D. Ketten, C. D. MacLeod, P. Miller, S. Moore, D. C. Mountain, D. Palka, P. Ponganis, S. Rommel, T. Rowles, B. Taylor, P. Tyack, D. Wartzok, R. Gisiner, J. Mead and L. Benner. 2006. Understanding the impacts of anthropogenic sound on beaked whales. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 7(3):177187.
  • Danil, K. 2004. Growth and reproduction of female short-beaked common dolphins, Delphinus delphis, in the eastern tropical Pacific. MS thesis University of San Diego, San Diego, California, United States . 192 pp.
  • Defran, R. H., and D. W. Weller. 1999. Occurrence, distribution, site fidelity and school size of bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) off San Diego, California. Marine Mammal Science 15:366380.
  • DeMaster, D. P. 1997. Minutes from the fifth meeting of the Alaska Scientific Review Group, 7–9 May 1997. (available upon request-D.P. DeMaster Alaska Fisheries Science Center, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115). 21 pp.
  • Doroff, A. M., and C. S. Gorbics. 1998. Sea otter surveys of Yakutat Bay and adjacent Gulf of Alaska coastal areas—Cape Hinchinbrook to Cape Spencer 1995–1996. Minerals Management Service, OCS Study MMS 97-0026. 31 pp.
  • Doroff, A. M., J. A. Estes, M. T. Tinker, D. M. Burn and T. J. Evans. 2003. Sea otter population declines in the Aleutian Archipelago. Journal of Mammalogy 84:5564.
  • Escorza-Treviño, S., and A. E. Dizon. 2000. Phylogeography, intraspecific structure, and sex-biased dispersal of Dall's porpoise (Phocoenoides dalli). Molecular Ecology 9:10491060.
  • Escorza-Treviño, S., F. I., Archer, M. Rozales, A. Lang and A. E. Dizon. 2005. Genetic differentiation and intraspecific structure of eastern tropical Pacific spotted dolphins, Stenella attenuata, revealed by DNA analyses. Conservation Genetics 6:587600.
  • Ferguson, S. H., I. Sterling and P. McLoughlin. 2005. Climate change and ringed seal (Phoca hispida) recruitment in western Hudson Bay. Marine Mammal Science 21:121–135.
  • Ferguson, M. C., J. Barlow, P. Fiedler, S. Reilly and T. Gerrodette. 2006a. Spatial models of delphinid (family Delphinidae) encounter rate and group size in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Ecological Modelling 193:645662.
  • Ferguson, M. C., J. Barlow, S. Reilly and T. Gerrodette. 2006b. Predicting Cuvier's (Ziphius cavirostris) and Mesoplodon beaked whale population density from habitat characteristics in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 7(3):287299.
  • Fewster, R. M., S. T. Buckland, G. M. Siriwardena, S. R. Baillie and J. D. Wilson. 2000. Analysis of population trends for farmland birds using generalized additive models. Ecology 81:19701984.
  • Ford, J. K. B., G. M. Ellis and K. C. Balcolm. 2000. Killer whales: The natural history and geneology of Orcinus orca in British Columbia and Washington State. University of British Columbia Press and University of Washington Press, Vancouver , BC and Seattle , WA .
  • Forney, K. A. 2000. Environmental models of cetacean abundance: Reducing uncertainty in population trends. Conservation Biology 14:12711286.
  • Forney, K. A., D. A. Hanan and J. Barlow. 1991. Detecting trends in harbor porpoise abundance from aerial surveys using analysis of covariance. Fishery Bulletin 89:367377.
  • Frost, K. F., L. F. Lowry, J. M. Ver Hoef and S. J. Iverson. 1997. Monitoring, habitat use, and trophic interactions of harbor seals in Prince William Sound. Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Restoration Project. Alaska Department of Fish and Game Annual Report Project 95064. 56 pp.
  • Fulling, G. L., K. D. Mullin and C. W. Hubard. 2003. Abundance and distribution of cetaceans in outer continental shelf waters of the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. Fishery Bulletin 101:923932.
  • George, J. C. Craig, J. Zeh, R. Suydam and C. Clark. 2004. Abundance and population trend (1978–2001) of western arctic bowhead whales surveyed near Barrow, Alaska. Marine Mammal Science 20(4):755773.
  • Gerrodette, T. 1987. A power analysis for detecting trends. Ecology 68:13641372.
  • Gerrodette, T. 1991. Models for power of detecting trends—A reply to Link and Hatfield. Ecology 72:18891892.
  • Gilbert, J. R., G. T. Waring, K. M. Wynne and N. Guldager. 2005. Changes in abundance of harbor seals in Maine, 1981–2001. Marine Mammal Science 21(3):519535.
  • Goodman, D. 2004. Methods for joint inference from multiple data sources for improved estimates of population size and survival rates. Marine Mammal Science 20(3):401423.
  • Harwood, L. A., S. Innes, P. Norton and M. C. S. Kingsley. 1996. Distribution and abundance of beluga whales in the Mackenzie Estuary, southeast Beaufort Sea, and west Amundsen Gulf during late July 1992. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 53:22622273.
  • Hobbs, R. C., and J. A. Lerczak. 1993. Abundance of Pacific white-sided dolphin and Dall's porpoise in Alaska estimated from sightings in the North Pacific Ocean and the Bering Sea during 1987 through 1991. Annual report to the MMPA Assessment Program, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, NOAA, 1335 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910.
  • Hobbs, R. C., and D. J. Rugh. 1999. The abundance of gray whales in the 1997/98 southbound migration in the eastern North Pacific. International Whaling Commission Scientific Committee working paper SC/57/AS10. 18 pp.
  • Hobbs, R. C., and J. M. Waite. in press. Harbor porpoise abundance in Alaska, 1997–1999. Marine Mammal Science.
  • Huber, H. R., S. J. Jefferies, R. F. Brown, R. L. DeLong and G. VanBlaricom. 2001. Correcting aerial survey counts of harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) in Washington and Oregon. Marine Mammal Science 17(2):276293.
  • Jeffries, S., H. Huber, J. Calambokidis and J. Laake. 2003. Trends and status of harbor seals in Washington State: 1978–1999. Journal of Wildlife Management 67(1):208219.
  • Jepson, P. D., M. Arbelo, R. Deaville, I. A. P. Patterson, P. Castro, J. R. Baker, E. Degollada, H. M. Ross, P. Herraez, A. M. Pocknell, F. Rodriguez, F. E. Howie, A. Espinosa, R. J. Reid, J. R. Jaber, V. Martin, A. A. Cunningham and A. Fernandez. 2003. Gas-bubble lesions in stranded cetaceans. Nature 425:575576.
  • Johnson, D. H. 1999. The insignificance of statistical significance testing. Journal of Wildlife Management 63:763772.
  • Kingsley, M. C. S., and R. R. Reeves. 1998. Aerial surveys of cetaceans in the Gulf of St. Lawrence in 1995 and 1996. Canadian Journal of Zoology 76:15291550.
  • Kraus, S. D., P. K. Hamilton, R. D. Kenney, A. Knowlton and C. K. Slay. 2001. Reproductive parameters of the North Atlantic right whale. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 2(Special Issue):231236.
  • Laake, J. L., R. L. DeLong, J. Calambokidis and S. Osmek. 1997. Abundance and distribution of marine mammals in Washington and British Columbia inside waters. Alaska Fisheries Science Center Processed Report 97-10. 255 pp.
  • Laake, J. L., J. Calambokidis and S. Osmek. 1998. Survey report for the 1997 aerial surveys for harbor porpoise and other marine mammals of Oregon, Washington and British Columbia outside waters. Alaska Fisheries Science Center Processed Report 98-10. 246 pp.
  • Loughlin, T. R. 1994. Abundance and distribution of harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) in Southeastern Alaska during 1993. Annual Report to the MMPA Assessment Program, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, NOAA, Department of Commerce .
  • Loughlin, T. R., D. J. Rugh and C. H. Fiscus. 1984. Northern sea lion distribution and abundance: 1956–1980. Journal of Wildlife Management 48:729740.
  • Lowry, M. S. 1999. Counts of California sea lion (Zalophus Californianus) pups from aerial color photographs and from the ground: A comparison of two methods. Marine Mammal Science 15(1):143158.
  • Lowry, M. S. 2002. Counts of northern elephant seals at rookeries in the Southern California Bight: 1981–2001. NOAA Technical Memorandum-NMFS-SWFSC 345. 64 pp.
  • Lowry, M. S., and J. V. Carretta. 2003. Pacific harbor seal, Phoca vitulina richardsi, census in California during May-July 2002. NOAA Technical Memorandum-NMFS-SWFSC 353. 48 pp.
  • Lowry, M. S., L. J. Hansen and S. D. Hawes. 1987. California sea lion and northern elephant seal pup counts and tagging at Santa Barbara Island, California, from June 1983 through July 1986. Southwest Fisheries Science Center Administrative Report LJ-87-03.
  • Lowry, M. S., P. Boveng, R. L. DeLong, C. W. Oliver, B. S. Stewart, H. DeAnda and J. Barlow. 1992. Status of the California sea lion (Zalophus californianus californianus) population in 1992. Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Administrative Report LJ-92-32. 24 pp.
  • Lowry, M. S., W. L. Perryman, M. S. Lynn, R. L. Westlake and F. Julian. 1996. Counts of northern elephant seals, Mirounga angustirostris, from large-format aerial photographs taken at rookeries in southern California during the breeding season. Fishery Bulletin 94:176185.
  • Lowther, J. L. 2006. Genetic variation of coastal and offshore bottlenose dolphins, Tursiops truncatus, in the eastern North Pacific Ocean. MS thesis, University of San Diego , San Diego , CA .
  • Merrick, R. L., D. G. Calkins and D. C. McAllister. 1992. Aerial and ship-based surveys of Steller sea lions in Southeast Alaska, the Gulf of Alaska, and Aleutian Islands during June and July 1991. NOAA Technical Memorandum-NMFS-AFSC 1. 37 pp.
  • Mullin, K. D., and G. L. Fulling. 2003. Abundance and distribution of cetaceans in the southern U.S. North Atlantic Ocean during summer 1998. Fishery Bulletin 101:603613.
  • Mullin, K. D., and G. L. Fulling. 2004. Abundance of cetaceans in the oceanic northern Gulf of Mexico, 1996–2001. Marine Mammal Science 20(4):787807.
  • O'Corry-Crowe, G. M., K. K. Martien and B. L. Taylor. 2003. The analysis of population genetic structure in Alaska harbor seals, Phoca vitulina, as a framework for the identification of management stocks. Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Administrative Report LJ-03-08. 54 pp.
  • Palka, D. 1995. Abundance estimate of the Gulf of Maine harbor porpoise. Pages 2750 in A.Bjørge and G. P.Donovan, eds. Biology of the phocoenids. International Whaling Commission (Special Issue 16), Cambridge , United Kingdom .
  • Palka, D. 1996. Update on abundance of the Gulf of Maine/Bay of Fundy harbor porpoises. NOAA/NMFS/NEFSC 96-04. 37 pp. Available from NMFS, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, 166 Water Street, Woods Hole, MA 02543.
  • Palka, D. 2000. Abundance of the Gulf of Maine/Bay of Fundy harbor porpoise based on shipboard and aerial surveys during 1999. NOAA/NMFS/NEFSC 00-07. 29 pp. Available from NMFS, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, 166 Water Street, Woods Hole, MA 02543.
  • Palka, D., A. Read and D. Potter. 1997. Summary of knowledge of white-sided dolphins (Lagenorhynchus acutus) from the U.S. and Canadian North Atlantic waters. Report of the International Whaling Commission 47:729724.
  • Palsbøll, P. J., P. J. Clapham, D. K. Mattila, F. Larsen, R. Sears, H. R. Siegismund, J. Sigurjónsson, O. Vasquez and P. Arctander. 1995. Distribution of mtDNA haplotypes in North Atlantic humpback whales: The influence of behavior on population structure. Marine Ecology Progress Series 116:110.
  • Palsbøll, P. J., J. Allen, M. Bérubé, P. J. Clapham, T. P. Feddersen, P. S. Hammond, R. R. Hudson, H. Jorgensen, S. Katona, A. H. Larsen, F. Larsen, J. Lien, D. K. Mattila, J. Sigurjónsson, R. Sears, T. Smith, R. Sponer, P. Stevvick and N. Øien. 1997. Genetic tagging of humpback whales. Nature 388:767769.
  • Payne, M. 2004. Notice of availability draft stock assessment reports. Federal Register Document 04-25645 69:6754167543.
  • Pitcher, K. W. 1990. Major decline in number of harbor seals, Phoca vitulina richardsi, on Tugidak Island, Gulf of Alaska. Marine Mammal Science 6(2):121134.
  • Sease, J. L., and T. R. Loughlin. 1999. Aerial and land-based surveys of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Alaska, June and July 1997 and 1998. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NMFS-AFSC 100. 61 pp.
  • Sease, J. L., J. M. Strick, R. L. Merrick and J. P. Lewis. 1999. Aerial and land-based surveys of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Alaska, June and July 1996. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NMFS-AFSC 99. 43 pp.
  • Sease, J. L., W. P. Taylor, T. R. Loughlin and K. W. Pitcher. 2001. Aerial and land-based surveys of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Alaska, June and July 1999 and 2000. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NMFS-AFSC 122. 55 pp.
  • Strick, J. M., L. W. Fritz and J. P. Lewis. 1997. Aerial and ship-based surveys of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Southeast Alaska, the Gulf of Alaska, and Aleutian Islands during June and July 1994. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NMFS-AFSC 71. 55 pp.
  • Taylor, B. L. 2005. Identifying units to conserve. Pages 149164 in J. E.ReynoldsIII, W. F.Perrin, R. R.Reeves, S.Montgomery and T. J.Ragen, eds. Marine mammal research: Conservation beyond crisis. The John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore , MD .
  • Taylor, B. L., and T. Gerrodette. 1993. The uses of statistical power in conservation biology: The vaquita and the northern spotted owl. Conservation Biology 7:489500.
  • Taylor, B. L., P. R. Wade, R. A. Stehn and J. F. Cochrane. 1996. A Bayesian approach to classification criteria for spectacled eiders. Ecological Applications 6:10771089.
  • Taylor, B. L., P. R. Wade, D. P. DeMaster and J. Barlow. 2000. Incorporating uncertainty into management models for marine mammals. Conservation Biology: 12431252.
  • Thomas, L., K. P. Burnham and S. T. Buckland. 2004. Temporal inferences from distance sampling surveys. Pages 71107 in S. T.Buckland, D. R.Anderson, K. P.Burnham, J. L.Laake, D. L.Borchers and L.Thomas, eds. Advanced distance sampling: Estimating abundance of biological populations. Oxford University Press, Oxford , United Kingdom .
  • Thompson, D., M. Lonergan and C. Duck. 2005. Population dynamics of harbour seals Phoca vitulina in England: Monitoring growth and catastrophic declines. Journal of Applied Ecology 42:638648.
  • Tynan, C., and D. DeMaster. 1997. Observations and predictions of Arctic climate change: Potential effects on marine mammals. Arctic 50:308322.
  • Urquhart, N. S., and T. M. Kincaid. 1999. Designs for detecting trend from repeated surveys of ecological resources. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 4:404414.
  • Ver Hoef, J. M., and K. J. Frost. 2003. A Bayesian hierarchical model for monitoring harbor seal changes in Prince William Sound, Alaska. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 10:201219.
  • Wade, P. 2000. Bayesian methods in conservation biology. Conservation Biology 14(5):13081316.
  • Waring, G. T., R. M. Pace, J. M. Quintal, C. P. Fairfield and K. Maze-Foley. 2003. U. S. Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico Marine Mammal Stock Assessments—2003. 287 pp.
  • Withrow, D. E., and T. R. Loughlin. 1995. Abundance and distribution of harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) along the Aleutian Islands during 1994. Annual report to the MMPA Assessment Program, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, NOAA, Department of Commerce .
  • Withrow, D. E., and T. R. Loughlin. 1996. Abundance and distribution of harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) along the north side of the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay during 1995. Annual report to the MMPA Assessment Program, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, NOAA .
  • Withrow, D. E., and T. R. Loughlin. 1997. Abundance and distribution of harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardsi) along the south side of the Alaska Peninsula, Shumagin Islands, Coon Inlet, Kenai Peninsula, and the Kodiak Archipelago in 1996. Annual report to the MMPA Assessment Program, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, NOAA, Department of Commerce .

Appendix

  1. Top of page
  2. Methods
  3. Results
  4. Discussion
  5. Acknowledgments
  6. Literature Cited
  7. Appendix

This appendix contains coefficients of variation in abundance estimates (CV), survey intervals, statistical power to detect a 50% decline in 15 yr for stocks of marine mammals found in U.S. waters used in this paper. The sources of data for each stock are given in bold if the CVs were from peer-reviewed papers, in italics if the CVs were from readily available documents or reports that present complete methods, or in plain font if the CVs were not readily available from a public source or if the source did not present complete methods. Readers are cautioned not to extract CV information when sources are neither in bold or italics as these are considered unreviewed data. Multiple sources mean either that the CV in the SAR was derived from multiple abundance estimates (for cetaceans) or that the CV was derived from a time series (for pinnipeds); therefore, the CV in the table will not appear in any single reference. Ice seals are noted with an asterisk. Statistical power to detect a decline (power 15 yr) was calculated using the CV and survey interval data except as noted below. For some stocks “na” (not available) appears in the CV and/or survey interval column. When it appears in both columns, that is, there are no abundance data, we assume the probability of detecting a decline is 0.0. There are two cases where there is no CV but a survey interval. In both cases, southern resident killer whales, where all individuals are known and identified each year and North Atlantic right whales where a large fraction is identified each year, we assumed that the probability of detecting a loss of half the individuals over 15 yr was 1.0. Abbreviations are as follows: WNA = Western North Atlantic; cont. = continental; Mex. = Mexico; OR = Oregon; WA = Washington; CA = California; CNP = Central North Pacific; SEAK = Southeast Alaska.

SpeciesStockCVSurvey intervalPower 15 yraSource
  1. aAll nonzero values are statistical power. Zero values are inferred probability of detection of decline given that there is no monitoring of abundance for these stocks.

  2. bFor recently peer-reviewed estimate see Calambokidis and Barlow, 2004.

  3. cFor a recently peer reviewed estimate see Barlow and Taylor, 2005.

  4. Sources:

  5. 1. (Fulling et al. 2003), 2. (Mullin and Fulling 2004), 3. (Mullin and Fulling 2003), 4. (Palkad), 5. (Palka 1995), 6. (Palka 1996), 7. (Palka et al. 1997), 8. (Harwood et al. 1996), 9. (personal communication as referenced in Angliss and Lodge 2003e), 10. (NMFS unpublished data as referenced in Angliss and Lodge 2003f), 11. (DeMaster 1997), 12. (Barlow 2003), 13. (Carretta et al. 1998), 14. (NMFS unpublished data as cited in Waring et al. 2003), 15. (Blaylock and Hoggard 1994), 16. (Calambokidis et al. 1997a), 17. (Hobbs and Lerczak 1993), 18. (Waring et al. 2003), 19. (Hobbs and Waite, in press), 20. (Palka 2000), 21. (Carretta 2003), 22. (Laake et al. 1998), 23. (Laake et al. 1997), 24. (Angliss and Lodge 2003), 25. (Ford et al. 2000), 26. (Buckland et al. 1993), 27. (George et al. 2004). 28. (Hobbs and Rugh 1999), 29. (Calambokidis et al. 1997b), 30. (Clapham et al. 2002), 31. (Kingsley and Reeves 1998), 32. (Kraus et al. 2001), 33. (Lowry et al. 1992), 34. (Lowry 1999), 35. (Withrow and Loughlin 1996), 36. (Lowry and Carretta 2003), 37. (Withrow and Loughlin 1995), 38. (Withrow and Loughlin 1997), 39. (Frost et al. 1997), 40. (Jeffries et al. 2003), 41. (Brown 1997), 42. (Huber et al. 2001), 43. (Loughlin 1994), 44. (Gilbert et al. 2005), 45. (Lowry 2002), 46. (Lowry et al. 1987), 47. (Lowry et al. 1996), 48. (Carretta et al. 2000), 49. (Antonelis et al. 1994), 50. (Merrick et al. 1992), 51. (Calkins et al. 1999), 52. (Sease et al. 1999), 53. (Strick et al. 1997), 54. (Sease et al. 2001), 55. (Sease and Loughlin 1999), 56. (Loughlin et al. 1984), 57. (Agler et al. 1999), 58. (Doroff and Gorbics 1998), 59. (USFWS/USFS unpublished data as in Angliss and Lodge 2003), 60. (Doroff et al. 2003), 61. (Carretta et al. 2004).

  6. dPersonal communication from D. Palka, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, MA, July 2006.

  7. ePersonal communication from R. Hobbs, National Marine Mammal Laboratory, 7600 Sandpoint Way, N.E. Seattle, WA.

  8. fAvailable from R. Hobbs, National Marine Mammal Laboratory, 7600 Sandpoint Way, N.E. Seattle, WA.

Dolphins and Porpoises
Atlantic spotted dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Outer Cont. Shelf/Oceanic0.2740.261, 2
Atlantic spotted dolphinWNA0.8740.113,4
Atlantic white-sided dolphinWNA0.3840.194, 5, 6, 7
Beluga whaleBeaufort Sea0.2340.328
Beluga whaleBristol Bay0.2040.379
Beluga whaleCook Inlet0.0911.0010
Beluga whaleE. Bering Sea0.2440.3011
Beluga whaleE. Chukchi Sea0.2040.379
Bottlenose dolphinCA/OR/WA Offshore0.6640.1312
Bottlenose dolphinCA Coastal0.1240.6713
Bottlenose dolphinE. Gulf of Mex. Coastal0.1210 0.3214
Bottlenose dolphinGulf of Mex. Bay, Sound, Estuarine0.5710 0.1214
Bottlenose dolphinGulf of Mex. Cont. Shelf/Slope0.2640.281
Bottlenose dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Coastal0.2630.351
Bottlenose dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4130.212
Bottlenose dolphinW. Gulf of Mex. Coastal0.2110 0.2015
Bottlenose dolphinWNA Coastal0.4630.1914
Bottlenose dolphinWNA Offshore0.2540.293, 4
Clymene dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.6540.132
Clymene dolphinWNA0.9340.113
Common dolphinWNA0.3240.224
Common dolphin, short-beakedCA/OR/WA0.2540.2912
Common dolphin, long-beakedCA0.7240.1212
Dall's porpoiseCA/OR/WA0.3340.2112, 16
Dall's porpoiseAlaska0.1050.3817
Dwarf sperm whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.2940.242
Dwarf sperm whaleWNA0.5740.143, 4
False killer whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.7140.122
Fraser's dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.7040.122
Fraser's dolphinWNAnana0.0018
Harbor porpoiseBering Sea0.2260.2119
Harbor porpoiseGulf of Alaska0.2150.2019
Harbor porpoiseGulf of Maine/Bay of Fundy0.2240.335, 6, 20
Harbor porpoiseMonterey Bay0.4230.2021
Harbor porpoiseMorro Bay0.4130.2121
Harbor porpoiseN. CA/S. OR0.3930.2222
Harbor porpoiseOR/WA Coast0.3850.1422
Harbor porpoiseSan Francisco Russian River0.3930.2221
Harbor porpoiseSEAK0.2470.2219
Harbor porpoiseWashington Inland Waters0.4050.1423
Killer whaleE. N. Pacific Northern Residentnana0.0024
Killer whaleE. N. Pacific S. Resident0.0011.0025
Killer whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4940.152
Killer whaleWNAnana0.0018
Melon-headed whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.5540.142
Melon-headed whaleWNAnana0.0018
Northern right whale dolphinCA/OR/WA0.2640.2812
Pacific white-sided dolphinCA/OR/WA0.5040.1512
Pacific white-sided dolphinCNP0.9060.1226
Pantropical spotted dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.1640.492
Pantropical spotted dolphinWNA0.5640.143, 4
Pilot whale, short-finnedCA/OR/WA1.0240.1212
Pilot whale, short-finned18N. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4840.162
Pilot whale, long- and short- finnedWNA0.3040.244
Pygmy killer whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.6040.132
Pygmy killer whaleWNAnana0.0018
Pygmy sperm whaleCA/OR/WA1.0640.1012
Pygmy sperm whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.2940.242
Pygmy sperm whaleWNA0.4940.153, 4
Risso's dolphinCA/OR/WA0.2840.2512
Risso's dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.3240.222
Risso's dolphinWNA0.2940.243, 4
Rough-toothed dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Outer Cont. Shelf/Oceanic0.4140.181, 2
Spinner dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.7140.122
Spinner dolphinWNAnana0.0018
Striped dolphinCA/OR/WA0.5340.1412
Striped dolphinN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4340.172
Striped dolphinWNA0.4040.183, 4
White-beaked dolphinWNAnana0.0018
Large Whales
Blue whaleEastern North Pacific0.2340.3212b
Blue whaleWNAnana0.0018
Bowhead whaleW. Arctic0.1340.6127
Bryde's whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.6140.132
Fin whaleCA/OR/WA0.3140.2312
Fin whaleNE Pacificnana0.0024
Fin whaleWNA0.2140.354, 5
Gray whaleE. N. Pacific0.1050.3828
Humpback whaleCNP entire stock0.1060.4329
Humpback whaleE. N. Pacific0.1111.0012
Humpback whaleGulf of Maine0.2950.1630
Humpback whaleW. N. Pacific0.0860.5329
Minke whaleAlaskanana0.0024
Minke whaleCA/OR/WA0.7340.1212
Minke whaleCanadian east coast0.1650.254, 31
N. Pacific right whaleE. N. Pacificnana0.0024
North Atlantic right whaleWNAna21.0018, 32
Sei whaleCA/OR/WA0.6140.1312
Sei whaleNova Scotianana0.0018
Sperm whaleCA/OR/WA0.4140.1812c
Sperm whaleN. Atlantic0.3640.203, 4
Sperm whaleN. Gulf of Mex.0.2340.322
Sperm whaleN. Pacificnana0.0024
Beaked Whales
Baird's beaked whaleAlaskanana0.0024
Baird's beaked whaleCA/OR/WA0.9240.1112
Blainville's beaked whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4140.182
Cuvier's beaked whaleAlaskanana0.0024
Cuvier's beaked whaleCA/OR/WA1.0640.1012
Cuvier's beaked whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4740.162
Cuvier's beaked whale/ Mesoplodon beaked whalesWNA0.3440.2112
Gervais' beaked whaleN. Gulf of Mex. Oceanic0.4140.182
Mesoplodon beaked whalesCA/OR/WA0.6840.1312
Northern bottlenose whaleWNAnana0.0018
Stejneger's beaked whaleAlaskanana0.0024
Pinnipeds
Bearded seal*Alaskanana0.0024
CA sea lionPacific0.2910.7633, 34
Harbor sealBering Sea0.06100.5935
Harbor sealCalifornia Pacific0.1111.0036
Harbor sealGulf of Alaska0.0221.0037, 38, 39
Harbor sealOR/WA Coast0.1211.0040, 41, 42
Harbor sealSEAK0.0311.0043
Harbor sealWA inland waters0.1511.0040
Harbor sealWNA0.1011.0044
Hawaiian monk sealHawaiina11.0048
Northern elephant sealPacific0.0811.0045, 46, 47, 48
Northern fur sealEastern Pacific0.0521.0049
Ribbon seal*Alaskanana0.0024
Ringed seal*Alaskanana0.0024
Spotted seal*Alaskanana0.0024
Steller sea lionEastern U.S. Stock0.0621.0050, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55
Steller sea lionWestern U.S. Stock 21.0053, 54, 55, 56
Walrus*Alaskanana0.0018
Polar bears/Sea otters
Polar bearAlaskanana0.0018
Sea otterSEAK0.3710 0.1457, 58
Sea otterSouthcentral AK0.1610 0.2558, 59
Sea otterSouthwest AK0.1310 0.3059, 60
Sea otterWAna11.0061
Southern sea otterCAna11.0061