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Background Longitudinal data are limited about the circulating strains of influenza viruses and their public health impact in Indonesia. We conducted influenza surveillance among outpatients and hospitalized patients with influenza-like illness (ILI) across the Indonesian archipelago from 2003 through 2007.
Methodology Demographic, clinical data, and respiratory specimens were collected for 4236 ILI patients tested for influenza virus infection by RT-PCR and viral culture.
Principal Findings Influenza A and B viruses co-circulated year-round with seasonal peaks in influenza A virus activity during the rainy season (December–January). During 2003–2007, influenza viruses were identified in 20·1% (4236/21 030) of ILI patients, including 20·1% (4015/20 012) of outpatients, and 21·7% (221/1018) of inpatients. One H5N1 case was identified retrospectively in an outpatient with ILI. Antigenic drift in circulating influenza A and B virus strains was detected during the surveillance period in Indonesia. In a few instances, antigenically drifted viruses similar to the World Health Organization (WHO) vaccine strains were detected earlier than the date of their designation by WHO.
Conclusions Influenza A and B virus infections are an important cause of influenza-like illness among outpatients and hospitalized patients in Indonesia. While year-round circulation of influenza viruses occurs, prevention and control strategies should be focused upon the seasonal peak during rainy season months. Ongoing virologic surveillance and influenza disease burden studies in Indonesia are important priorities to better understand the public health impact of influenza in South-East Asia and the implications of influenza viral evolution and global spread.
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While the disease burden and seasonality of influenza virus activity in temperate regions of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres have been well characterized with clear peaks during winter months,1,2 such data are limited for developing countries with tropical and subtropical climates.3 Recent studies suggest that South-East Asia is an important region in the global ecology and evolution of influenza viruses.4,5 The ongoing epizootic of highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1) virus among poultry with sporadic transmission to humans further highlights the importance of influenza virus surveillance and response measures in South-East Asia.6,7
In tropical and subtropical developing countries, influenza is often under-diagnosed and the disease burden and clinical severity are under-estimated.3 However, recent studies have revealed that influenza virus infections in tropical climate countries, including in South-East Asia, cause similar severity and disease burden as in temperate countries.8,9 Beginning in 2003, a widespread, ongoing epizootic of highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1) virus has impacted poultry in Indonesia. First detected in 2005, sporadic H5N1 virus transmission to humans has resulted in high mortality.7 Since H5N1 virus infection can also cause severe influenza-like illness (ILI) among exposed persons, virologic surveillance is needed to understand the relative impact of H5N1 virus and seasonal influenza A and B viruses among persons with ILI in Indonesia.
Influenza surveillance was implemented among outpatients at six sentinel sites in three districts in Java, Indonesia between September 1999 and January 2003.10 In this report, we describe the findings of expanded influenza surveillance at additional sites across the Indonesian archipelago, including among hospitalized patients, during 2003–2007.
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During the 5-year surveillance period, a total of 21 030 participants, including outpatients (n = 20 012) and inpatients (n = 1018), who presented to surveillance sites with ILI were enrolled. The median age of participants was 17 years (mean age, 21·1 years; range, 1 month to 90 years). Among all participants, 1851 (8·9%) were aged <2 years, 2936 (14·1%) were 2–4 years, 4435 (21·3%) were 5–12 years, 1220 (5·9%) were 13–17 years, 8589 (41·3%) were 18–49 years, 1413 (6·8%) were 50–64 years, and 359 (1·7%) were 65 years and older (Table 1).
Table 1. Distribution of influenza specimens testing positive by RT-PCR (by type and influenza A subtype) by age groups, clinical setting, and location. 2003–2007
|Factor||Total ILI patients tested||Influenza A not further sub typed||H1N1||H3N2||H5N1||B||Total|
|Positive||% positive||Positive||% positive||Positive||% positive||Positive||% positive||Positive||% positive||Positive||% positive|
| Outpatient||20 012||432||2.2||759||3.8||1410||7.0||1||0.004||1413||7.1||4015||20.1|
Overall, 20·1% (4236/21 030) of ILI cases throughout the study period tested positive for influenza viruses. The proportion of ILI cases that tested positive for influenza viruses by age-group was highest in school-aged children (Table 1). The percentages of outpatients (20·1%) and inpatients (21·7%) testing positive for influenza viruses were similar. The proportion of seasonal influenza-associated pneumonia, diagnosed by clinicians based on clinical manifestations and chest radiography results, among hospitalized ILI cases sampled was 18% (23/128). Among all ILI cases that tested positive for influenza viruses, influenza A virus and influenza B virus were identified in 64·9% (2749) and 35·1% (1487) of cases, respectively. Among the influenza A viruses that were subtyped (n = 2314 viruses), 64·6% were identified as H3N2, 34·9% as H1N1, and 0·4% as H5N1.
The proportion of ILI cases that tested positive for influenza viruses per year was generally consistent throughout the study period and varied from 18·7% (in 2003) to 23·8% (in 2004). However, the proportion of ILI cases that tested positive for influenza viruses varied considerably across island sites, ranging from Bali (14·2%) and Timor (15·3%) to Papua (25·9%) and Maluku (26·6%). Across the surveillance sites, influenza viruses were detected year-round. The distribution of influenza virus types and influenza A virus subtypes varied temporally (Table 2).
Table 2. Influenza virus types and influenza A subtypes detected by year
|Year||ILI cases|| ||RT-PCR|| # Isolates||# and (%) of Influenza Positives with isolates|
|# Influenza Positive||% of all Influenza Positives|
|2003|| 593||Influenza A|
| H1N1|| 10||9.0||7||7/10 (70)|
| H3N2||75||67.6||34||34/75 (45.3)|
|Influenza B||26||23.4||9||9/26 (34.6)|
| H1N1||12||3.6||8||8/12 (66.7)|
| H3N2||219||65.6||94||94/219 (42.9)|
|Influenza B||103||30.8||70||70/103 (67.9)|
| H1N1||59|| 7.9 ||22||22/59 (37.3)|
| H3N2||303||40.5||47||47/303 (15.5)|
| H5N1||1||0.1|| || |
|Influenza B||336||51.5||233||233/386 (60.4)|
| A Not further tested||108||8.6|| || |
| H1N1||422||33.5||196||196/422 (46.4)|
| H3N2||343||27.2||54||54/343 (15.7)|
| H5N1||3||0.2|| || |
|Influenza B||384||30.5||167||167/326 (51.2)**|
| A Not further tested||327||18.4|| || |
| H1N1||305||17.1||89||89/305 (29.2)|
| H3N2||556||31.2||51||51/556 (9.2)|
| H5N1||6||0.3|| || |
|Influenza B||538||32.9||183||183/470 (38.9)**|
All influenza viral isolates (n = 1264) were first characterized at NAMRU#2 and then a subset (n = 473 isolates from 2003 to mid-2006) was further characterized at CDC. In 2003, surveillance was conducted in five sites, and 111 influenza virus infections were identified; influenza A (H3N2) viruses predominated, followed by influenza B and A (H1N1) viruses. The most frequent strains identified were A/Fujian/411/2002-like H3N2, B/Hongkong/330/2001-like (B/Victoria/2/87 lineage, 2002–2003 Northern and 2003 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain), and A/New Caledonia/20/99-like H1N1 (2002–2003 Northern and 2003 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain) viruses. The number of surveillance sites expanded during 2004–2007. In 2004, A (H3N2) viruses also predominated, with A/California/7/2004-like H3N2, B/Sichuan/379/99-like, and A/New Caledonia/20/99-like H1N1 (2003–2004 Northern and 2004 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain) viruses the most frequently detected strains. In 2005, influenza B viruses of the B/Victoria/2/87 lineage predominated and most viruses were related antigenically to the reference strain B/Ohio/05/2005. The frequency of circulating A (H3N2) viruses was slightly less than influenza B viruses and most were identified as A/California/7/2004-like. Influenza A (H1N1) viruses were detected at low frequency and all isolates were A/New Caledonia/20/99-like (2004–2005 Northern and 2005 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain). In 2006, influenza A (H1N1), A (H3N2), and type B viruses were detected at similar frequencies; most H1N1 viruses were related antigenically to A/New Caledonia/20/99-like (2005–2006 Northern and 2006 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain); the majority of H3N2 viruses were related antigenically to the A/California/7/2004 (2005–2006 Northern and 2006 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain); and the majority of influenza B viruses belonged to the B/Victoria/2/87-lineage and were identified as B/Malaysia/2506/2004-like. In 2007, influenza A (H3N2) and B viruses were identified in similar frequencies. The majority of H3N2 viruses were related antigenically to A/Wisconsin/67/2005 virus (2006–2007 Northern and 2007 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain); and the majority of B viruses were of the B/Victoria-lineage viruses and related antigenically to B/Malaysia/2506/2004 virus (2006–2007 Northern and 2007 Southern Hemisphere vaccine strain). Overall, during 2003–2007, influenza A (H3N2) viruses were isolated less frequently (18·7%) than A (H1N1) (39·9%) or B (50·5%) viruses.
Influenza A (H5N1) virus infection was identified in one outpatient and nine inpatients from six surveillance sites (five cases from Tangerang, and one each from Bali, Padang, Jakarta, Makassar, and Yogyakarta). Initial diagnoses in these cases included severe bronchopneumonia, dengue, or typhoid fever. All nine confirmed H5N1 hospitalized cases presented with severe illness late in the clinical course, received late oseltamivir treatment, and all died. One H5N1 case presented with ILI to a hospital outpatient surveillance site, was not suspected with H5N1 at clinical presentation, was neither treated nor hospitalized, and subsequently died. H5N1 virus infection was retrospectively confirmed from a respiratory specimen collected through ILI surveillance. These 10 cases represented 8·5% of all confirmed H5N1 cases (n = 117) identified in Indonesia between 2005 and 2007.
Influenza virus detection by RT-PCR and subsequent viral isolation were higher in ILI patients presenting with a measured temperature of ≥37·8°C (22·6% and 44·7%, respectively) compared to those with a history of feverishness, but without a documented fever at presentation (17·4% and 38·3%). Among 4236 patients who tested positive by RT-PCR, 62·5% were positive in both nasal and throat swab specimens, compared to 19·6% of nasal swabs only, and 16·9% of throat swabs alone. Nasal swabs yielded slightly higher isolation of influenza viruses compared to throat swabs [1225/3043 (40·3%) versus 1155/3054 (37·8%), P = 0·04, chi-squared test].
Figure 2 shows the monthly proportion of influenza-positive ILI cases identified by RT-PCR. Seasonal peaks in influenza A virus activity, especially with H3N2 virus strains, were observed during December and January, followed by increases in influenza B virus activity during March to May. The seasonality of influenza A virus was largely consistent across all nine islands although some had increased activity during May and July (Sumatra, Maluku, and Papua). Two eastern provinces of Indonesia appeared to have a bimodal peak in influenza activity during December-January and June-July although data were limited (data not shown). We observed a high correlation between the mean proportion of influenza A positives among ILI cases and mean precipitation from 18 districts (Figure 3; r = 0·87). When assessed per district, influenza A virus activity appeared to correlate well with rainfall in 10 districts (in one district, r > 0·8; in nine districts, r = 0·6–0·8); poor-to-moderate correlation was observed in other districts (in one district, r = 0·4–0·6; in two districts, r = 0·2–0·4; in three districts, r = 0–0·2; and in two districts, r = −0·01 to −0·2.) The last five districts are located in Kalimantan and two eastern islands of Indonesia (Maluku and Papua). Influenza A virus activity did not appear to correlate with mean monthly temperature or relative humidity (data not shown). Influenza B virus activity did not appear to be correlated with mean monthly temperature, mean monthly rainfall, or monthly relative humidity for any sites (data not shown).
Figure 3. Comparison of rainfall precipitation and the proportion of ILI cases that tested positive for influenza A, 2003–2007 Indonesia*.
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Retrospective analysis identified a small number of influenza A viruses that were isolated from respiratory specimens collected through surveillance in Indonesia before the collection of specimens elsewhere that yielded influenza A (H1N1) and (H3N2) viruses that were subsequently recommended as WHO influenza vaccine strains (Table 3). A/Solomon Islands/3/2006 (H1N1) virus was first identified in August 2006; this antigenic variant virus spread widely and was selected as the Northern Hemisphere H1N1 vaccine component in February 2007 to replace A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1). An H1N1 virus detected in Indonesia during March 2006 was identified as A/Solomon Islands/3/2006-like (in early 2007), suggesting detection of this virus in Indonesia approximately 5 months earlier than the designated WHO Northern Hemisphere vaccine strain. Similarly, a few H3N2 viruses were identified in Indonesia earlier or at the same time as antigenically equivalent H3N2 vaccine strains that were recommended as WHO H3N2 vaccine strains (A/California/7/2004-like and A/Wisconsin/67/2005-like viruses).
Table 3. Detection of Influenza A Virus Strains in Indonesia and Temporal Relationship to Global Detection of WHO Designated influenza A Vaccine Virus Strains, 2003–2007
|Influenza vaccine strain||Month, year selected as WHO vaccine strain||Date of collection of influenza vaccine virus||Date of collection of Indonesia virus||Indonesia virus name||Antigenic characterization*|
|A/California/07/2004 (H3N2)||February 2005||Sept 16, 2004||Sept 16, 2004||Indonesia/1857/2004||A/Califomia/07/2004 (H3N2)-like|
|A/Wisconsin/67/2005 (H3N2)-like||February 2006||Aug 31, 2005||Feb 18, 2005||Indonesia/1711/2005||A/Wisconsin/67/2005 (H3N2)-like|
|A/Solomon Islands/03/2006 (H1N1)-like||February 2007||Aug 21, 2006||March 3, 2006||Indonesia/3208/2006||A/Solomon lslands/03/2006 (HlNl)-ike|
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Surveillance conducted at sites across the Indonesian archipelago during 2003–2007 identified a substantial proportion of influenza virus infections among patients presenting with influenza-like illness. While influenza activity was detected year-round, the proportion of ILI patients with influenza and predominant viruses varied from year-to-year and geographically. There was evidence for a mixed seasonal distribution of influenza viruses in some parts of eastern Indonesia (Maluku and Papua). However, the observed seasonality of influenza A virus activity among ILI cases at our surveillance sites in most regions of Indonesia, particularly in the western and middle islands which are more densely populated, indicated a peak in December and January, which correlates with the rainy season. Seasonality for influenza B virus was less apparent.
Similar to our surveillance findings, influenza A (H1N1) virus activity was low during 2003–2005 in Australia15–17, Malaysia18, and Thailand19. However, in 2006, A (H1N1) viruses were the predominant subtype in Malaysia18, Thailand19, and Indonesia. In 2007, A (H1N1) activity increased in Australia20. Between 2003 and 2007, A (H3N2) virus was the most predominant subtype in Indonesia and in neighboring countries15–21. Similar to our findings, influenza B viruses were less frequently detected than influenza A viruses, but still were identified in a moderately high proportion of ILI cases in Malaysia and Thailand (approximately 20% to 40% each year)18,19, except in 2005 when B viruses predominated in Malaysia and Indonesia (approximately 52%)18. In Australia, influenza B virus activity was variable during 2003–2007 (6% in 2003 to 29% in 2006 and 9% in 2007).15–17,20,21
Influenza A and B viruses, including antigenically drifted strains as observed in other countries, were also detected in Indonesia during the surveillance period, and in a few instances were detected earlier than designated WHO representative reference or influenza vaccine strains. A sink-source model in which evolution of influenza A (H3N2) virus strains circulating in the tropics seed winter epidemics in temperate region has been proposed; this model emphasizes the importance of South-East Asia for the emergence of new variants and novel strains.4,5 Although we did not conduct comprehensive antigenic characterization of influenza viruses circulating in Indonesia or compare our limited results with global data, we believe that improved influenza surveillance in Indonesia, the 4th most populated country, can inform better understanding of the evolution of influenza viruses in South-East Asia.
Given the influenza virus seasonality observed among ILI cases at most Indonesian sentinel sites, use of influenza vaccine in Indonesia should target the December-January winter seasonal peak. For this reason and the similarity with most circulating A (H1N1) and A (H3N2) virus strains during 2003–2007, the timing of the availability of Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine is best suited for Indonesia. This timing of peak influenza activity is different than that found in other countries in the region which also experience year-round activity, but generally experience a mid-year peak, although the timing of peak activity may vary from year-to-year.18,22−24
Historically, influenza vaccine use is quite low in Indonesia with fewer than 300 000 doses administered every year.25 With very limited data on influenza disease burden in Indonesia and no data on cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination, the Ministry of Health recommends influenza vaccine for high-risk populations such as the elderly, those with underlying chronic diseases, Hajj pilgrims, and healthcare workers.26 The main reasons for low influenza vaccine coverage are the cost of vaccine and the wide belief that influenza virus infection only causes mild illness.25 Oseltamivir is the only antiviral for influenza used in Indonesia, but is not widely available. Although oseltamivir has been provided in limited quantities at government primary health centers and hospitals since 2006, it is not available at pharmacies and its use is restricted to treatment of persons with suspected or confirmed H5N1 virus infection.27
Among samples tested, the percentage of ILI cases testing positive for influenza viruses was highest among school-age children in Indonesia. While health utilization data for Indonesians of all ages with influenza-like illness are needed, the high burden of influenza among school-age children presenting to surveillance sites is consistent with reports from other countries in the region and underscores the potential of this group as a source of transmission and the importance of influenza vaccination.23,24 Furthermore, seasonal influenza represented 21·7% of all ILI cases tested in the inpatient setting, among which 18% were associated with pneumonia. Since influenza diagnostic testing is generally not performed as part of clinical management of outpatients or hospitalized patients, the findings in this work can inform physicians in Indonesia who are not aware of the public health impact of seasonal influenza. Furthermore, given the relatively high frequency of influenza among hospitalized ILI patients, both healthcare personnel and other hospitalized patients may be at risk of and contribute to nosocomial influenza virus transmission; the role of influenza vaccination and importance of infection control must be emphasized.
We identified 10 H5N1 cases from patients’ respiratory specimens collected at hospital surveillance sites, 8·6% of the 116 H5N1 cases reported in Indonesia during the surveillance period28. Nine cases were in suspected H5N1 patients with severe illness admitted to hospitals that were surveillance sites, while one H5N1 case presented with ILI and was not suspected with H5N1. This highlights the value of laboratory-based influenza surveillance to detect human infections with seasonal influenza viruses as well as H5N1 virus29. As our surveillance network relied upon a convenience sample of ILI cases among outpatients and inpatients, it is possible that other H5N1 virus infections were missed.
We recognize several limitations to our surveillance findings. First, denominator data on the catchment population for sentinel sites were not collected and data on the total number of outpatient and inpatient visits and total ILI cases were not collected to calculate the incidence of ILI and influenza. We utilized a convenience sample of ILI cases, not a systematic sample. Therefore, influenza disease burden could not be estimated. Nevertheless, we documented a substantial proportion of outpatients and hospitalized patients with influenza. Second, we did not follow the outcomes of our inpatients to estimate seasonal influenza-associated mortality. Third, sentinel sites were selected based on the population density. More sentinel sites existed on two islands, Sumatra and Java in the West, and our findings may not be representative of all of Indonesia, including less populous eastern islands. Finally, the yield of viral isolation was lower over the surveillance period because of cold-chain issues and difficulties in isolating H3N2 viruses. However, as we utilized RT-PCR as the primary method of identification, we believe that our findings accurately reflect influenza virus activity among our surveillance sites.
In conclusion, our findings demonstrate that influenza is an important public health problem among outpatients and hospitalized ILI patients in Indonesia. This has implications for understanding the public health impact of influenza in tropical climates as well as the development of policies for the use of influenza vaccines in Indonesia. In addition to strengthening and improving epidemiological data collection for patients with influenza, collecting more data on influenza disease burden is needed, especially among hospitalized patients and high-risk groups for influenza complications. Also, data are needed on the economic impact of influenza and the role of climactic factors (such as absolute humidity, rainfall, and temperature) in influenza activity and seasonality in Indonesia.