Paper No. 95056 of the Water Resources Bulletin. Discussions are open until February 1, 1997.
EQUILIBRIUM AND TRANSIENT GLOBAL WARMING SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS FOR WATER RESOURCES IN WALES1
Article first published online: 8 JUN 2007
JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
Volume 32, Issue 4, pages 711–721, August 1996
How to Cite
Holt, C. P. and Jones, J. A. A. (1996), EQUILIBRIUM AND TRANSIENT GLOBAL WARMING SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS FOR WATER RESOURCES IN WALES. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 32: 711–721. doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1996.tb03468.x
- Issue published online: 8 JUN 2007
- Article first published online: 8 JUN 2007
- water management;
- global warming;
- seasonal flows;
ABSTRACT: A methodology has been developed to predict the responses of a range of water supply sources in Wales to global warming scenarios. Hydrologically effective rainfall is predicted from temperature and precipitation for each season based on site specific formulae developed using the Meteorological Office Rainfall and Evaporation Calculation System (MORECS) and UK Surface Water Archive databases. Comparisons are then made between the effects predicted for the scenarios established from equilibrium simulations and the new Hadley Centre High Resolution Model (UKHI) transient mode results. Though very different, both suggest increased stress on water resources late in the hydrological year.