Paper No. JAWRA-10-0054-P of the Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA).Discussions are open until six months from print publication.
Nonstationarity in Water Resources – Central European Perspective1
Article first published online: 1 JUN 2011
© 2011 American Water Resources Association
JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
Volume 47, Issue 3, pages 550–562, June 2011
How to Cite
Kundzewicz, Z. W. (2011), Nonstationarity in Water Resources – Central European Perspective. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47: 550–562. doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00549.x
- Issue published online: 1 JUN 2011
- Article first published online: 1 JUN 2011
- Received April 20, 2010; accepted October 13, 2010.
- water resources;
- water management;
- global change;
- Central Europe
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., 2011. Nonstationarity in Water Resources – Central European Perspective. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 47(3): 550-562. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00549.x
Abstract: Nonstationarity in variables describing water quantity and water quality characteristics is reviewed, and an attempt to interpret nonstationary behavior is made with particular reference to the Central European region. Nonstationarity in water-related variables results from several nonclimatic and climatic factors. Albeit evidence of climate change in Central Europe is clear, anthropogenic nonclimatic change, such as land-use or land-cover changes, water engineering measures, and in-catchment water management play important roles. Systemic socioeconomic and political changes are the main factors responsible for the observed change in water quality in the region. The observed climate change in the Central European region has not been dramatic enough to persuade the water management community that changes of standards, criteria, and evaluation procedures should be made. Projections for the future largely differ between models and scenarios, hence information obtained from climate models is found too vague to be used. However, the water management community shows interest in climate change observations, projections, and impact assessments. Numerous hydrological research projects to tackle nonstationarity have been undertaken in the region. Also important acts of legislation, such as the European Union’s Water Framework Directive and Floods Directive can be regarded in the context of nonstationarity of water-related variables.