The authors thank an anonymous referee for valuable comments on an earlier draft of this manuscript. Helpful comments by Pep Canadell, Kevin Hanslow and Kym Anderson in preparing this article are gratefully acknowledged. Robert Scealy was a visiting Scientist at CSIRO when this research was undertaken, and he is currently with Deloitte Access Economics in Canberra.
Effects of Variation in the Grains Sector Response to Climate Change: An Integrated Assessment*
Article first published online: 13 SEP 2012
© 2012 The Economic Society of Australia
Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy
Volume 31, Issue 3, pages 327–336, September 2012
How to Cite
Scealy, R., Newth, D., Gunasekera, D. and Finnigan, J. (2012), Effects of Variation in the Grains Sector Response to Climate Change: An Integrated Assessment. Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy, 31: 327–336. doi: 10.1111/j.1759-3441.2012.00185.x
- Issue published online: 13 SEP 2012
- Article first published online: 13 SEP 2012
- climate change;
- grains sector;
- integrated assessment
We examine the effects of a one degree Celsius warming globally by 2030 on the distribution of grains sector productivity responses in several major economies. An integrated assessment modelling framework, the Global Integrated Assessment Model is used in our analysis. Our results highlight that at the tails of the distribution of climate change impacts simulated in this study, there is some variation in self-sufficiency and export availability of grains products reported for specific economies. These variations could widen further if distortionary trade policies are added to the current analysis.