Quaternary climate changes explain diversity among reptiles and amphibians


  • Miguel B. Araújo,

  • David Nogués-Bravo,

  • José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho,

  • Alan M. Haywood,

  • Paul J. Valdes,

  • Carsten Rahbek

M. B. Araújo (maraujo@mncn.csic.es) and D. Nogués-Bravo, Dept of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC, C/José Gutierrez Abascal, 2, Madrid, ES-28006, Spain, and Center for Macroecology, Univ. of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, DK-2100 Copenhagen. – J. A. F. Diniz-Filho, Dept of General Biology, Federal Univ. of Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970, Goiânia, Brazil. – A. M. Haywood, British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK. – P. J. Valdes, School of Geographical Sciences, Univ. of Bristol, University Road, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK (present address: School of Earth and Environment, Univ. of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK). – C. Rahbek, Center for Macroecology, Univ. of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, DK-2100 Copenhagen.


It is widely believed that contemporary climate determines large-scale patterns of species richness. An alternative view proposes that species richness reflects biotic responses to historic climate changes. These competing “contemporary climate” vs “historic climate” hypotheses have been vigorously debated without reaching consensus. Here, we test the proposition that European species richness of reptiles and amphibians is driven by climate changes in the Quaternary. We find that climate stability between the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the present day is a better predictor of species richness than contemporary climate; and that the 0°C isotherm of the LGM delimits the distributions of narrow-ranging species, whereas the current 0°C isotherm limits the distributions of wide-ranging species. Our analyses contradict previous studies of large-scale species richness patterns and support the view that “historic climate” can contribute to current species richness independently of and at least as much as contemporary climate.