Edgar J. González and Carlos Martorell Reconstructing shifts in vital rates driven by long-term environmental change: a new demographic method based on readily available data Ecology and Evolution 3
We present a model that, based on a time series of population size-structures and densities, reconstructs the impact of directional environmental changes on vital rates. Our results show that the model is successful, but basic biological knowledge may be required to provide reliable results. Because time series of size structures and densities are available for many species or can be rapidly generated, our model can contribute to understand populations that face highly pressing environmental problems.
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