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T. R. Ault, C. Deser, M. Newman and J. Emile-Geay Characterizing decadal to centennial variability in the equatorial Pacific during the last millennium Geophysical Research Letters 40

Article first published online: 9 JUL 2013 | DOI: 10.1002/grl.50647

Key Points

  • NINO3.4 decadal variability is indistinguishable from multivariate red noise
  • Reconstructions and simulations disagree on the origin of centennial variance
  • The future of Pacific climate may be more uncertain than portrayed by models

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