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Roger M Cooke, Marion E Wittmann, David M Lodge, John D Rothlisberger, Edward S Rutherford, Hongyan Zhang and Doran M Mason Out-of-sample validation for structured expert judgment of Asian carp establishment in Lake Erie Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 10

Version of Record online: 18 SEP 2014 | DOI: 10.1002/ieam.1559

Key Points

  • Structured expert judgment is applied to quantify uncertainty in Asian carp establishment in Lake Erie
  • Calibration variables from the experts' field are used to enable performance-based combination
  • In sample validation is applied to the combination of expert judgments and to the experts
  • Out-of-sample validation is applied to the performance-based combination method

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