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S. Stevenson, B. Rajagopalan and B. Fox-Kemper Generalized linear modeling of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation with application to seasonal forecasting and climate change projections Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 118

Version of Record online: 2 AUG 2013 | DOI: 10.1002/jgrc.20260

Key Points

  • The Markov GLM method can increase effective ensemble sizes for climate models.
  • The response of El Nino/La Nina to climate change differs between CCSM versions.
  • On long timescales, El Nino becomes less persistent as CO2 increases.

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