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Thomas E. Hoff, Richard Perez, Jan Kleissl, David Renne and Joshua Stein Reporting of irradiance modeling relative prediction errors Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 21

Version of Record online: 4 JUN 2012 | DOI: 10.1002/pip.2225

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This paper suggests that the mean absolute error (MAE) relative to the mean measured value may be the preferred metric to quantify the relative (percent) dispersion accuracy of irradiance models. This is because the metric is less sensitive to outliers and depends less upon the threshold applied to the validation data (e.g., whether nighttime values are included or not in the statistics).

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