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H. N. Webster, D. J. Thomson, B. T. Johnson, I. P. C. Heard, K. Turnbull, F. Marenco, N. I. Kristiansen, J. Dorsey, A. Minikin, B. Weinzierl, U. Schumann, R. S. J. Sparks, S. C. Loughlin, M. C. Hort, S. J. Leadbetter, B. J. Devenish, A. J. Manning, C. S. Witham, J. M. Haywood and B. W. Golding Operational prediction of ash concentrations in the distal volcanic cloud from the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984–2012) 117

Version of Record online: 27 JAN 2012 | DOI: 10.1029/2011JD016790

Key Points

  • A method for forecasting peak volcanic ash concentrations is described
  • Method validated using observations from the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull eruption
  • Uncertainties in modeled ash concentrations are numerous and large

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