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Lei Wang and Darryn W. Waugh Chemistry-climate model simulations of recent trends in lower stratospheric temperature and stratospheric residual circulation Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984–2012) 117

Version of Record online: 5 MAY 2012 | DOI: 10.1029/2011JD017130

Key Points

  • CCMs can reproduce observed lower stratospheric temperature trend seasonal cycle
  • Simulated trends vary greatly among ensemble members of the same model
  • In models, trends are due to internal variability rather than external forcing

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