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V. V. Kharin, G. J. Boer, W. J. Merryfield, J. F. Scinocca and W.-S. Lee Statistical adjustment of decadal predictions in a changing climate Geophysical Research Letters 39

Version of Record online: 3 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1029/2012GL052647

Key Points

  • A trend-adjusting correction of decadal predictions is proposed
  • The method reduces residual drifts remaining after standard bias correction
  • Initialization enhances skill in decadal predictions in the first 1-2 years

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