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Koichi Sakaguchi, Xubin Zeng and Michael A. Brunke The hindcast skill of the CMIP ensembles for the surface air temperature trend Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984–2012) 117

Article first published online: 28 AUG 2012 | DOI: 10.1029/2012JD017765

Key Points

  • Surface air temperature trends from CMIP3 and 5 historical experiments are evaluated
  • Some improvements in CMIP5 for regional and decadal spatiotemporal scales
  • Predictive skills in the regional and decadal scales are still limited

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