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Ileana Bladé, Didac Fortuny, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Brant Liebmann The summer North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP3 models and related uncertainties in projected summer drying in Europe Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984–2012) 117

Article first published online: 25 AUG 2012 | DOI: 10.1029/2012JD017816

Key Points

  • Most CMIP3 models capture the precipitation impact of the SNAO in NW Europe
  • The simulated Mediterranean wet anomalies during the positive SNAO are too weak
  • The future CMIP3 SNAO trend is projected to be positive, but with a large spread

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